Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 23
Shelbourne

Shelbourne

2–1

Full Time

Dundalk

Dundalk

🏟 Tolka Park, Dublin
📋 Regular Season - 23
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

82%

confidence

Odds: 1.22 calculated Medium-High Risk

The evidence strongly favors a Home Win as Shelbourne show a form advantage with 64% compared to 36% and a dominant defensive metric at 75% versus 25%. H2H data supports this with a 71% home advantage and overall provider data showing 59.7% backing for the home side. Season stats reinforce this with consistent clean sheets and controlled attacking numbers. While away attack for Dundalk is at 58%, multiple independent metrics confirm the home edge. Hence, a Home Win offers a solid, though cautious, pick. Given these convergences, the confidence is set at 82%.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Under 2.5 goals market offers strong value based on season under/over thresholds. Shelbourne’s home stats show 17 under versus 1 over in the 2.5 category, while Dundalk’s away record is 15 under versus 3 over, indicating a convergent trend. Comparison metrics and H2H results underline low-scoring affairs. This bet has a value edge exceeding 30% given the statistical imbalance in goal totals. The probability is conservatively set at 85%, ensuring both safety and attractive value. Risk factors remain minimal with consistent evidence across the board.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Home form at 64% and H2H at 71%

82%

odds 1.22

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Combined home win/draw backing of 59.7%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Shelbourne
Shelbourne
LDWDD
Dundalk
Dundalk
WWWDW

Current Standings

4
Dundalk
Dundalk
24 P 9 W 35 Pts
5
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
24 P 8 W 34 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
25 15 50
2
Bohemians Bohemians
25 12 43
3
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
24 12 42
4
Dundalk Dundalk
24 9 35
5
Shelbourne Shelbourne
24 8 34
6
Derry City Derry City
25 6 29
7
Galway United Galway United
23 7 27
8
Drogheda United Drogheda United
24 6 25
9
Waterford Waterford
24 4 21
10
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
24 5 20
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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