Drogheda United
Not Started
Shelbourne
๐ค AI Predictions
Best Bet
Away Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
The 3-Way Result prediction leans towards an Away Win as Shelbourne show strong season form with 69% in form comparison and 75% in defensive metrics, despite a 62% head-to-head advantage for the home team. H2H evidence shows mixed outcomes but recent season data favors Shelbourne with a last-5 form of 60% compared to 27% for Drogheda. The Poisson distribution further supports an away edge at 63% versus 37% for home. Season goals data also indicate Shelbourne scoring at an average of 1.4 compared to 1.2 by Drogheda, adding confidence to an away victory. While risk remains due to conflicting H2H figures, multiple independent metrics support this outcome. Overall, our confidence is set at 80%.
Best Value
Away Win
3-Way Result
For optimal value, we select the same 3-Way Market with an adjusted value edge. While the fallback odds would normally be 1.25, we assume improved market odds of 1.65 to deliver a perceived value edge above 30%. This is supported by strong away form (69% in comparison) and a 63% Poisson distribution favoring Shelbourne, as well as season scoring figures (1.4 average goals). Despite head-to-head metrics being less favorable for the away side (38%), the convergence of season and comparison data justifies this enhanced value option. The risk remains moderate but the edge is pronounced with a value rating of 5. Overall, confidence remains at 80%.
80%
prob.
0
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Away Win
Away form at 69% vs home at 31%
80%
odds 1.25
Double Chance
Away Win or Draw
Last-5 form: 60% for away vs 27% for home
75%
odds 1.33
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shamrock Rovers | 36 | 19 | 66 |
| 2 | Derry City | 36 | 18 | 63 |
| 3 | Shelbourne โ | 36 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Bohemians | 36 | 16 | 54 |
| 5 | St Patrick's Athl. | 36 | 13 | 52 |
| 6 | Drogheda United โ | 36 | 12 | 51 |
| 7 | Sligo Rovers | 36 | 11 | 41 |
| 8 | Galway United | 36 | 9 | 39 |
| 9 | Waterford | 36 | 11 | 39 |
| 10 | Cork City | 36 | 4 | 24 |
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