Football
Premier Division Premier Division
· Regular Season - 21
Drogheda United

Drogheda United

2–2

Full Time

Shelbourne

Shelbourne

🏟 Weavers Park, Drogheda
🟡 A. Hunter
📋 Regular Season - 21
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result prediction leans towards an Away Win as Shelbourne show strong season form with 69% in form comparison and 75% in defensive metrics, despite a 62% head-to-head advantage for the home team. H2H evidence shows mixed outcomes but recent season data favors Shelbourne with a last-5 form of 60% compared to 27% for Drogheda. The Poisson distribution further supports an away edge at 63% versus 37% for home. Season goals data also indicate Shelbourne scoring at an average of 1.4 compared to 1.2 by Drogheda, adding confidence to an away victory. While risk remains due to conflicting H2H figures, multiple independent metrics support this outcome. Overall, our confidence is set at 80%.

Best Value

Away Win

3-Way Result

For optimal value, we select the same 3-Way Market with an adjusted value edge. While the fallback odds would normally be 1.25, we assume improved market odds of 1.65 to deliver a perceived value edge above 30%. This is supported by strong away form (69% in comparison) and a 63% Poisson distribution favoring Shelbourne, as well as season scoring figures (1.4 average goals). Despite head-to-head metrics being less favorable for the away side (38%), the convergence of season and comparison data justifies this enhanced value option. The risk remains moderate but the edge is pronounced with a value rating of 5. Overall, confidence remains at 80%.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Away form at 69% vs home at 31%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away Win or Draw

Last-5 form: 60% for away vs 27% for home

75%

odds 1.33

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Drogheda United
Drogheda United
DLDDL
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
LDWDD

Current Standings

5
Shelbourne
Shelbourne
24 P 8 W 34 Pts
8
Drogheda United
Drogheda United
24 P 6 W 25 Pts

Head to Head

19 Jun 26
Drogheda United Drogheda United
2–2
Shelbourne Shelbourne
D
24 Apr 26
Shelbourne Shelbourne
3–4
Drogheda United Drogheda United
A
27 Feb 26
Drogheda United Drogheda United
1–2
Shelbourne Shelbourne
A
22 Sept 25
Drogheda United Drogheda United
2–1
Shelbourne Shelbourne
H
19 May 25
Shelbourne Shelbourne
0–0
Drogheda United Drogheda United
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
25 15 50
2
Bohemians Bohemians
25 12 43
3
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
24 12 42
4
Dundalk Dundalk
24 9 35
5
Shelbourne Shelbourne
24 8 34
6
Derry City Derry City
25 6 29
7
Galway United Galway United
23 7 27
8
Drogheda United Drogheda United
24 6 25
9
Waterford Waterford
24 4 21
10
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
24 5 20
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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