Football โ€บ
Premier Division Premier Division
ยท Regular Season - 18
Derry City

Derry City

0โ€“0

Full Time

St Patrick's Athl.

St Patrick's Athl.

๐ŸŸ The Ryan McBride Brandywell Stadium, Derry
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 18
๐Ÿ“… 2026

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

St Patrick's Athl. to Score First

Team to Score First

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

Our most confident pick leverages the stark contrast in attacking metrics where St Patrick's Attl. show a 71% attack rate in their last 5 while Derry City only managed 36%, and St Patrickโ€™s average goals per match is 2.0 compared to 1.0 for Derry City. Despite mixed headโ€toโ€head figures (home 62% vs away 38%), the high attacking impetus supports a strong likelihood for St Patrickโ€™s to score first. This bet focuses solely on the first scoring instance, which is supported by their recent form of 53%. Although there is inherent risk given the defensive look of both sides, the convergence of lastโ€5 stats and league form bolsters our stance.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Draw

Second Half Winner

For a value play we target the Second Half Winner market where the bookmaker offers a line for โ€˜Drawโ€™ at 2.30. Our analysis shows that after a mixed first-half, the match often settles into parity with multiple headโ€toโ€head draws โ€“ evidenced by halftime scores like 0-0 and 1-1 in recent encounters. By cautiously estimating an 80% chance for a second-half draw, we create a robust edge against the implied probability of 43.5% from the odds. The convergence of strong defensive metrics for Derry City (55% defense) with St Patrickโ€™s attacking volatility makes this outcome particularly valuable.

80%

prob.

2.3

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

St Patrick's Athl. Win

St Patrick's attack at 67% vs Derry City's 33%

55%

odds 2.45

Double Chance

Derry City or Draw

Derry City's home defense at 55% and h2h at 62%

65%

odds 1.5

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Derry City
Derry City
DWWDD
St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl.
WWLLW

Current Standings

2
St Patrick's Athl.
St Patrick's Athl.
18 P 9 W 32 Pts
6
Derry City
Derry City
19 P 4 W 22 Pts

Head to Head

22 May 26
Derry City Derry City
0โ€“0
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
D
16 Mar 26
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
0โ€“0
Derry City Derry City
D
29 Aug 25
Derry City Derry City
2โ€“2
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
D
23 Jun 25
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
0โ€“1
Derry City Derry City
A
5 May 25
Derry City Derry City
1โ€“0
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
36 19 66
2
Derry City Derry City โ—
36 18 63
3
Shelbourne Shelbourne
36 15 59
4
Bohemians Bohemians
36 16 54
5
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl. โ—
36 13 52
6
Drogheda United Drogheda United
36 12 51
7
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
36 11 41
8
Galway United Galway United
36 9 39
9
Waterford Waterford
36 11 39
10
Cork City Cork City
36 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Derry City

2.90

Draw

3.00

St Patrick's Athl.

2.35

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.20

Under 2.5

1.65

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.95

No

1.80

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