Football โ€บ
Premier Division Premier Division
ยท Regular Season - 16
Drogheda United

Drogheda United

1โ€“0

Full Time

Derry City

Derry City

๐ŸŸ Weavers Park, Drogheda
๐ŸŸก A. Hunter
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 16
๐Ÿ“… 2026

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

92%

confidence

Odds: 1.09 calculated Low Risk

Our highest confidence pick is the Goals Over/Under market, selecting Under 2.5 goals, justified by dominant season under counts where Drogheda recorded 13 unders out of 14 and Derry 14 unders out of 15. Comparison metrics favor this low scoring match with both teams having underwhelming attacking minutes (Drogheda only 31.58% in 0-15 minutes and Derry 15.00%). H2H evidence shows several 1-1 and 2-2 results which indicate limited scoring. Season statistics also support a low scoring affair with only 1 over count for 2.5 in both teams. Although risks remain, convergence of evidence provides 92% confidence in Under 2.5.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Drogheda United Win

3-Way Result

The best value opportunity emerges in the 3-Way Result market with a prediction of a Drogheda United win. Droghedaโ€™s season average of 1.8 goals and a lower failed-to-score count (2) compared to Derryโ€™s 4, supports a home win despite mixed comparison metrics. The bookmaker odds of 3.20 yield an implied probability of 31.25%, offering a significant value edge when our confidence is set at 80%. Multiple metrics such as home attack of 56% versus awayโ€™s 44% and home defense at 28% bolster this choice. While some risks exist, the overall evidence converges to an 80% probability, providing solid value.

80%

prob.

3.2

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Drogheda United Win

Drogheda United attack at 56% vs Derry City at 44%

80%

odds 3.2

Double Chance

Drogheda United or Draw

Drogheda United recorded 5 clean sheets compared to 3 for Derry City

78%

odds 1.62

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Drogheda United
Drogheda United
WWLLD
Derry City
Derry City
DWWDD

Current Standings

6
Derry City
Derry City
19 P 4 W 22 Pts
8
Drogheda United
Drogheda United
18 P 5 W 20 Pts

Head to Head

8 May 26
Drogheda United Drogheda United
1โ€“0
Derry City Derry City
H
20 Mar 26
Derry City Derry City
2โ€“2
Drogheda United Drogheda United
D
26 Sept 25
Drogheda United Drogheda United
1โ€“1
Derry City Derry City
D
16 Aug 25
Derry City Derry City
1โ€“1
Drogheda United Drogheda United
A
27 Jun 25
Derry City Derry City
3โ€“0
Drogheda United Drogheda United
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
36 19 66
2
Derry City Derry City โ—
36 18 63
3
Shelbourne Shelbourne
36 15 59
4
Bohemians Bohemians
36 16 54
5
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
36 13 52
6
Drogheda United Drogheda United โ—
36 12 51
7
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
36 11 41
8
Galway United Galway United
36 9 39
9
Waterford Waterford
36 11 39
10
Cork City Cork City
36 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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