Football โ€บ
Premier Division Premier Division
ยท Regular Season - 15
Waterford

Waterford

3โ€“3

Full Time

Dundalk

Dundalk

๐ŸŸ Regional Sports Centre, Waterford
๐ŸŸก D. Murphy
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 15
๐Ÿ“… 2026

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Dundalk Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.62 bookmaker Medium-High Risk

Comparison metrics strongly favor Dundalk with form at 70% and attack at 70% compared to Waterford's 30%, while season stats show Dundalk averaging 1.6 goals against Waterford's 0.7. The Poisson distribution (63% for Dundalk) also supports this outcome. Although head-to-head metrics offer a mixed signal, recent last-5 data (47% form for Dundalk vs 20% for Waterford) reinforces the trend. Overall, the evidence converges on an 80% probability for a Dundalk win.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Dundalk Win

Second Half Winner

Dundalkโ€™s strong second half potential is underlined by a 64% attack in recent matches and a higher league form (47% vs 27%). This implies a likelihood of turning the game decisively in the latter stages. With bookmaker odds of 1.95 for a second half win, and by assigning a 70% probability, the calculated edge exceeds 30%. Multiple independent metrics, including season scoring and defensive records, contribute to this convergence, though inherent match uncertainties remain.

70%

prob.

1.95

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Dundalk Win

Dundalk form at 70% vs Waterford's 30%

80%

odds 1.62

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Dundalk league record: 5 wins and 6 draws out of 14 matches

85%

odds 1.2

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Waterford
Waterford
LDLDD
Dundalk
Dundalk
LWDWW

Current Standings

4
Dundalk
Dundalk
18 P 6 W 26 Pts
10
Waterford
Waterford
18 P 1 W 10 Pts

Head to Head

4 May 26
Waterford Waterford
3โ€“3
Dundalk Dundalk
D
13 Mar 26
Dundalk Dundalk
5โ€“0
Waterford Waterford
H
13 Sept 24
Waterford Waterford
2โ€“1
Dundalk Dundalk
H
28 Jun 24
Dundalk Dundalk
0โ€“2
Waterford Waterford
A
10 May 24
Waterford Waterford
4โ€“1
Dundalk Dundalk
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Shamrock Rovers Shamrock Rovers
36 19 66
2
Derry City Derry City
36 18 63
3
Shelbourne Shelbourne
36 15 59
4
Bohemians Bohemians
36 16 54
5
St Patrick's Athl. St Patrick's Athl.
36 13 52
6
Drogheda United Drogheda United
36 12 51
7
Sligo Rovers Sligo Rovers
36 11 41
8
Galway United Galway United
36 9 39
9
Waterford Waterford โ—
36 11 39
10
Cork City Cork City
36 4 24
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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