Sao Paulo
Not Started
Vitoria
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
75%
confidence
The 3-Way Result pick for a Home Win is supported by the Poisson distribution showing an 82% home scoring chance and H2H metrics favoring home at 60%. Additionally, the goals comparison indicates a 58% advantage for the home side. Season data reinforces this with Sao Paulo’s relatively strong attacking output and recent form when playing at home. Although the overall evidence is promising, some inconsistency in recent H2H results advises caution. The convergence of multiple metrics like 82% Poisson and 60% H2H gives us a solid basis for this pick.
Best Value
Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
The best optimal value lies in the Goals Over/Under market where Under 2.5 Goals is strongly indicated. Both teams have under numbers in their season under_over stats, with Sao Paulo at 25 and Vitoria at 26 under for 2.5, while the defensive comparison favors slightly home side at 55% and away at 45%. The convergence of high under rates in season data and defensive solidity across the comparison metrics gives added confidence. Despite the inherent risk in low-scoring predictions, the substantial value edge makes this an optimal choice.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Poisson home 82% & H2H 60% favor Home
75%
odds 1.33
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
Home win 7/12 + 3 draws provide coverage
80%
odds 1.25
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 60 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 28 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 |  Bahia | 28 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 40 |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | 10 | 38 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 38 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo ● | 27 | 10 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 35 |
| 13 | Vitoria ● | 28 | 9 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 31 |
| 17 |  Gremio | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 18 |
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