Palmeiras
Not Started
Bahia
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
The data favors a home win with multiple metrics aligning, including a 65% Poisson distribution for Palmeiras and a 60% H2H advantage. Palmeiras’ solid defense (62% compared to Bahia’s 38%) and 11 season clean sheets add to the confidence. H2H results have seen more wins for Palmeiras in closely contested matches. The overall evidence, including comparative attack and form numbers, supports a home win despite Bahia’s strong recent form. Caution is advised given Bahia’s 87% last‐5 form, but the defensive metrics and historical performance mitigate this risk. The prediction is conservative with an 80% probability indicating balanced but favorable odds.
Best Value
Home Win or Draw
Double Chance
Double Chance (Home Win or Draw) emerges as the best value bet with strong convergence from defensive and H2H metrics. Palmeiras’ Poisson home rate of 65% and a H2H advantage of 60% combine with season clean sheet data to support this market. The added cushion of covering a draw improves the probability considering the competitive nature of Bahia’s 87% recent form. The evidence from multiple metrics drives the value edge, while risks from Bahia’s attacking efficiency are mitigated by Palmeiras’ defensive records. This option offers a value edge of roughly 30% when compared to other markets. Overall, the integrated data justifies an 85% probability for this market.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Palmeiras Poisson home rate of 65%
80%
odds 1.25
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
H2H advantage of 60% for Palmeiras
85%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 28 | 18 | 60 |
| 2 | Palmeiras ● | 28 | 16 | 57 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 28 | 14 | 49 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 28 | 13 | 48 |
| 5 | Bahia ● | 28 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 |  Cruzeiro | 28 | 13 | 45 |
| 7 |  Atletico-MG | 27 | 11 | 40 |
| 8 |  Santos | 27 | 10 | 38 |
| 9 |  Coritiba | 28 | 10 | 38 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 27 | 10 | 36 |
| 11 |  Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 36 |
| 12 |  Botafogo | 28 | 9 | 35 |
| 13 |  Vitoria | 28 | 9 | 33 |
| 14 |  Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 32 |
| 15 |  Mirassol | 28 | 8 | 32 |
| 16 |  Vasco DA Gama | 27 | 8 | 31 |
| 17 |  Gremio | 28 | 7 | 29 |
| 18 |  Internacional | 28 | 6 | 28 |
| 19 |  Remo | 28 | 5 | 23 |
| 20 |  Chapecoense-sc | 27 | 3 | 18 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Palmeiras
1.60
Draw
3.90
Bahia
5.25
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.73
Under 2.5
2.08
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.80
No
1.95
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