Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 29
Fluminense

Fluminense

vs

Not Started

Coritiba

Coritiba

🏟 Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro
📋 Regular Season - 29
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

BTTS - Yes

BTTS

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

BTTS appears highly supported by the data with 8 out of 10 H2H matches (80%) featuring both teams scoring, and season stats show Fluminense and Coritiba averaging 1.5 and 1.4 goals respectively. The comparison metrics indicate competitive attacking qualities with home goals at 53% and away at 47%. Historical H2H evidence further confirms scoring patterns with multiple draws ending 1-1 or 2-2. Season performance also highlights that Fluminense have scored in 10 out of 14 home fixtures while Coritiba’s failures to score in 7 games temper their offensive displays. This convergence makes BTTS a robust pick. However, the inherent variability in scoring is a risk factor. Overall, we assign a confidence of 80%.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The value edge is strong for the Under 2.5 goals market, supported by both teams’ season under thresholds (Fluminense: 22 under vs 5 over, Coritiba: 22 under vs 5 over) and the overall match comparison with goals percentages of 53% for home and 47% away. H2H results often featured limited scoring margins with several 1-1 and 1-1 draws, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring encounter. Additionally, Fluminense’s home scoring average is 1.5 while Coritiba scores 1.4, further indicating a tight match. The convergence of statistical evidence yields a probability of 80% for Under 2.5 goals. Despite the potential for an upset, the value edge is estimated at a 30% premium. Rating this as a value edge of 5, it stands out as the best optimal value bet.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Fluminense form at 56% vs Coritiba 44%

68%

odds 1.47

Double Chance

Home or Draw

Fluminense home record: 10 wins, 3 draws out of 14

75%

odds 1.33

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Fluminense
Fluminense
DWWWD
Coritiba
Coritiba
DWLDL

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo
28 18 60
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
28 16 57
3
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
28 14 49
4
Fluminense Fluminense
28 13 48
5
Bahia Bahia
28 12 46
6
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
28 13 45
7
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
27 11 40
8
Santos Santos
27 10 38
9
Coritiba Coritiba
28 10 38
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
27 10 36
11
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
27 10 36
12
Botafogo Botafogo
28 9 35
13
Vitoria Vitoria
28 9 33
14
Corinthians Corinthians
28 8 32
15
Mirassol Mirassol
28 8 32
16
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
27 8 31
17
Gremio Gremio
28 7 29
18
Internacional Internacional
28 6 28
19
Remo Remo
28 5 23
20
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
27 3 18
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
🏀 🎾 🏈

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