Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 28
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense

2–1

Full Time

Bahia

Bahia

🏟 Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
🟡 Anderson Daronco
📋 Regular Season - 28
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.18 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result pick for an Away Win is supported by robust h2h data where the away side has a 62% edge and superior form at 58% compared to 42% for the home side. Season statistics show Bahia averaging 2.2 goals in their last 5 games and a 73% performance form. Although Poisson distribution slightly favors the home team at 62%, the overall evidence including comparison and h2h metrics converges on an Away win. With these multiple data points, we assign an 85% probability, keeping risk moderate given slight opposing signals.

Best Value

Away/Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance bet for Away/Draw illustrates excellent value with consolidated season data and comparison metrics. Bahia’s 58% form and a combined h2h advantage of 62% reinforce this safer coverage. With an estimated probability of 88% and assuming bookmaker odds at 1.54, the calculated expected value exceeds a 30% edge. Despite inherent match variability, the convergence of evidence from comparison and season stats makes this option compelling.

88%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

62% away advantage in h2h

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Away/Draw

88% confidence for double chance

88%

odds 1.14

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
No data
Bahia
Bahia
No data

Current Standings

3
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
28 P 14 W 49 Pts
5
Bahia
Bahia
28 P 12 W 46 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo
28 18 60
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
28 16 57
3
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
28 14 49
4
Fluminense Fluminense
28 13 48
5
Bahia Bahia
28 12 46
6
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
28 13 45
7
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
27 11 40
8
Santos Santos
27 10 38
9
Coritiba Coritiba
28 10 38
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
27 10 36
11
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
27 10 36
12
Botafogo Botafogo
28 9 35
13
Vitoria Vitoria
28 9 33
14
Corinthians Corinthians
28 8 32
15
Mirassol Mirassol
28 8 32
16
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
27 8 31
17
Gremio Gremio
28 7 29
18
Internacional Internacional
28 6 28
19
Remo Remo
28 5 23
20
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
27 3 18
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Atletico Paranaense

2.30

Draw

3.25

Bahia

3.25

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.90

Under 2.5

1.90

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.67

No

2.10

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