Football ›

Serie A

· Regular Season - 27

Gremio

1–2

Full Time

Vasco DA Gama

🏟 Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre

🟡 Raphael Claus, Brazil

📋 Regular Season - 27

📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium-High Risk

Grêmio appears to have the upper hand with a 68% Poisson distribution for scoring and a 58% form compared to Vasco’s 42%. Historical head-to-heads show Grêmio winning 5 out of 10 matches, reinforcing the home advantage. Season stats indicate Grêmio averages 1.8 goals at home versus Vasco’s 1.0 away. Although evidence is strong, some variability exists and the prediction remains conservative.

Best Value

★★★★★

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The Under 2.5 goals market is supported by season under_over data where Grêmio recorded 21 under outcomes versus only 3 overs, while Vasco’s similar pattern reinforces low-scoring encounters. Comparison metrics favor a conservative scoring scenario with both teams averaging 1.1 goals overall. H2H matches frequently ended with 2 or fewer goals, and the evidence converges toward a tight game. Despite a slight risk, the value edge is significant given this confluence of data.

87%

prob.

1.15

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Grêmio’s 68% Poisson rate

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw

Grêmio’s 58% form

90%

odds 1.11

+4 more predictions

HT/FT, corners, first scorer & more

Unlock in App →

Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Gremio

WDLLW

Vasco DA Gama

WWWLW

Current Standings

Vasco DA Gama

27 P 8 W 31 Pts

Gremio

28 P 7 W 29 Pts

Head to Head

12 Sept 26

Gremio

1–2

Vasco DA Gama

22 Mar 26

Vasco DA Gama

2–1

Gremio

20 Nov 25

Gremio

2–0

Vasco DA Gama

19 Jul 25

Vasco DA Gama

1–1

Gremio

28 Jul 24

Gremio

1–0

Vasco DA Gama

+5 more H2H results in the app

Download Free →

League Standings

#	Team	P	W	Pts	Form
1	Flamengo	28	18	60	WWWWW
2	Palmeiras	28	16	57	DWDDW
3	Atletico Paranaense	28	14	49	WDLDW
4	Fluminense	28	13	48	WLWDW
5	Bahia	28	12	46	LWWWW
6	Cruzeiro	28	13	45	WLWLW
7	Atletico-MG	27	11	40	DWLWD
8	Santos	27	10	38	WWWWD
9	Coritiba	28	10	38	LDLWW
10	RB Bragantino	27	10	36	LDLLW
11	Sao Paulo	27	10	36	WLWWL
12	Botafogo	28	9	35	LWDDL
13	Vitoria	28	9	33	LDWLL
14	Corinthians	28	8	32	LLLLL
15	Mirassol	28	8	32	WDWLD
16	Vasco DA Gama ●	27	8	31	WWLWL
17	Gremio ●	28	7	29	DLLLW
18	Internacional	28	6	28	LWLLD
19	Remo	28	5	23	LLLLL
20	Chapecoense-sc	27	3	18	DLWLW