Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 19
Coritiba

Coritiba

1–3

Full Time

Palmeiras

Palmeiras

🏟 Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
🟡 Anderson Daronco, Brazil
📋 Regular Season - 19
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

Double Chance (Away/Draw) is our highest confidence pick with a 90% probability, bolstered by the comparison metric where away percentage totals 68.2% and the head-to-head shows an 80% advantage for Palmeiras. The convergence of league form (away team winning 11 of 17 fixtures overall) and strong defensive records reinforces this pick. This option minimizes risk by covering both an away win and a draw. Given the robust H2H and season trends, we are confident despite minor form imbalance with Coritiba at 44%. The evidence from both statistical and H2H data aligns, though some variance in first-half outcomes indicates slight risk.

Best Value

Away Team

Team to Score First

Team to Score First by Palmeiras offers the best value option with converging evidence from H2H and season performance. The away team recorded a notable 80% in the goals metric and a 69% Poisson probability, supporting an early breakthrough. With a probability of 80%, this selection captures the edge while mitigating risk. Its value is enhanced by covering any early score scenario in favor of the more potent side. The evidence suggests that Palmeiras typically sets the tempo, and this option provides an optimal balance between value and confidence.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H away 80% and goals away 85%

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Total away 68.2% and H2H away 80%

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Coritiba
Coritiba
DLLDW
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
No data

Current Standings

1
Palmeiras
Palmeiras
19 P 13 W 44 Pts
10
Coritiba
Coritiba
19 P 7 W 26 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
19 13 44
2
Flamengo Flamengo
18 11 37
3
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
19 10 33
4
Fluminense Fluminense
19 9 32
5
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
19 9 30
6
Bahia Bahia
19 8 30
7
Corinthians Corinthians
19 7 27
8
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
19 7 27
9
Botafogo Botafogo
19 7 26
10
Coritiba Coritiba
19 7 26
11
Vitoria Vitoria
19 7 26
12
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
19 7 25
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
19 7 25
14
Internacional Internacional
19 5 21
15
Santos Santos
19 5 21
16
Gremio Gremio
19 5 21
17
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
19 5 20
18
Mirassol Mirassol
18 5 19
19
Remo Remo
19 4 18
20
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
19 1 9
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Coritiba

3.80

Draw

3.20

Palmeiras

2.10

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

2.35

Under 2.5

1.57

Both Teams Score

Yes

2.00

No

1.75

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