Palmeiras
Full Time
Chapecoense-sc
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Palmeiras Home Win
3-Way Result
92%
confidence
Multiple metrics show overwhelming home advantage: Palmeiras boasts a 90% form rate, 84% Poisson expectation, and 100% H2H superiority, indicating a strong likelihood of a home win. Season data confirms 11 wins in 17 matches and excellent defensive stats. H2H evidence across 8 matches heavily favors the home team. While risks are minimal, minor fluctuations in match tempo remain possible. Overall, the alignment of 90% form and 84% Poisson supports a high-conviction home win pick.
Best Value
Palmeiras
Team to Score First
The value edge is best found in the Team to Score First market, where Palmeiras’ attacking metrics (54% attack vs 33% for Chapecoense) and 90% home form indicate they are most likely to open the scoring. Season and H2H stats further support early goal advantages by Palmeiras. This bet is optimally priced with bookmaker odds at 1.50, offering significant upside compared to the fallback odds. Despite inherent match unpredictability, the convergence of evidence suggests strong value in this option.
85%
prob.
0
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Palmeiras Home Win
Palmeiras: 90% form and 84% Poisson
92%
odds 1.09
Double Chance
Home or Draw
Palmeiras: 90% form and 100% H2H
95%
odds 1.05
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras ● | 19 | 13 | 44 |
| 2 |  Flamengo | 18 | 11 | 37 |
| 3 |  Atletico Paranaense | 19 | 10 | 33 |
| 4 |  Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 32 |
| 5 |  RB Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 30 |
| 6 |  Bahia | 19 | 8 | 30 |
| 7 |  Corinthians | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 8 |  Cruzeiro | 19 | 7 | 27 |
| 9 |  Botafogo | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| 10 |  Coritiba | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| 11 |  Vitoria | 19 | 7 | 26 |
| 12 |  Sao Paulo | 19 | 7 | 25 |
| 13 |  Atletico-MG | 19 | 7 | 25 |
| 14 |  Internacional | 19 | 5 | 21 |
| 15 |  Santos | 19 | 5 | 21 |
| 16 |  Gremio | 19 | 5 | 21 |
| 17 |  Vasco DA Gama | 19 | 5 | 20 |
| 18 |  Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 19 |
| 19 |  Remo | 19 | 4 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-sc ● | 19 | 1 | 9 |
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