Atletico Paranaense
Not Started
Mirassol
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Atletico Paranaense Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
Atletico Paranaense Win is our top pick with strong multiple metrics: the Poisson distribution shows a 77% home advantage and season stats favor 6 wins in 9 home fixtures. Their superior form (53% vs 47%) and defensive record (60% vs 40%) support a home victory. Despite no H2H data, the seasonal evidence and home scoring average (1.8 per game) reinforce this choice. The decision balances the provider’s metrics with the league data and brings an 80% confidence level. Caution is advised as the win probability relies on aggregated stats. The 1.91 odds further add attractive value.
Best Value
Atletico Paranaense Win
3-Way Result
Our best optimal value is also Atletico Paranaense Win, which offers a significant value edge with bookmaker odds at 1.91. With a 77% home Poisson advantage and a home win record of 6 wins out of 9, multiple independent metrics indicate strong likelihood. Season data shows a robust home scoring average and solid defensive performance. This convergence of evidence along with a calculated value edge of over 30% justifies the pick. Although H2H data is missing, overall metrics provide a strong basis. We assign an 80% probability with high value rating.
80%
prob.
1.91
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Atletico Paranaense Win
Poisson distribution: 77% for home
80%
odds 1.91
Double Chance
Atletico Paranaense or Draw
Total: 61.3% home advantage
90%
odds 1.22
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 38 | 23 | 79 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 76 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ● | 38 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 |  Botafogo | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 38 | 17 | 60 |
| 8 |  Sao Paulo | 38 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 |  Gremio | 38 | 13 | 49 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 48 |
| 11 |  Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 48 |
| 12 |  Santos | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 13 |  Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 38 | 13 | 45 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 45 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 38 | 11 | 44 |
| 17 |  Ceara | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 18 |  Fortaleza EC | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 19 |  Juventude | 38 | 9 | 35 |
| 20 |  Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 17 |
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