Football โ€บ
Serie A Serie A
ยท Regular Season - 17
Sao Paulo

Sao Paulo

1โ€“1

Full Time

Botafogo

Botafogo

๐ŸŸ MorumBIS, Sao Paulo
๐ŸŸก Lucas Casagrande, Brazil
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 17
๐Ÿ“… 2026

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Sao Paulo or Draw

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.22 bookmaker Low Risk

Sao Pauloโ€™s home struggles (last-5 form at 27%) contrast with Botafogoโ€™s stronger away display (53%), and the h2h record shows 40% draws in 10 encounters. This market covers the risk of a loss by including a draw, which is supported by season data (Sao Pauloโ€™s 3 home clean sheets out of 7 matches). Comparison metrics (33% vs 67% form) further justify a conservative stance. With bookmaker odds at 1.22 and an estimated 80% probability, the evidence converges to favor a safe, lowโ€risk pick. Minor conflicts exist but overall the data supports this option.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Draw/Away

Double Chance

Botafogoโ€™s superior form (67% in overall comparison and 53% in the last 5) combined with the possibility of a draw implies a robust chance for a non-home win outcome. By choosing the Draw/Away double chance, we cover Botafogo winning or drawing, which historically has been supported by 4 draws and 5 Botafogo wins in 10 h2h matches. The bookmaker odds of 1.83 imply an expected probability of about 54.6%, so assigning an 83% probability reveals a substantial value edge. This convergence of strong away form and h2h evidence makes it an optimal selection despite moderate inherent risks.

83%

prob.

1.83

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

4/10 h2h draws (40%)

70%

odds 3.6

Double Chance

Sao Paulo or Draw

Sao Paulo last-5 form at 27%

80%

odds 1.22

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
DDDWW
Botafogo
Botafogo
WLWDW

Current Standings

7
Sao Paulo
Sao Paulo
17 P 7 W 25 Pts
10
Botafogo
Botafogo
16 P 6 W 22 Pts

Head to Head

23 May 26
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1โ€“1
Botafogo Botafogo
D
14 Sept 25
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1โ€“0
Botafogo Botafogo
H
16 Apr 25
Botafogo Botafogo
2โ€“2
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
D
8 Dec 24
Botafogo Botafogo
2โ€“1
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
H
26 Sept 24
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
1โ€“1
Botafogo Botafogo
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo
38 23 79
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
38 23 76
3
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
38 19 70
4
Mirassol Mirassol
38 18 67
5
Fluminense Fluminense
38 19 64
6
Botafogo Botafogo โ—
38 17 63
7
Bahia Bahia
38 17 60
8
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo โ—
38 14 51
9
Gremio Gremio
38 13 49
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
38 14 48
11
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
38 12 48
12
Santos Santos
38 12 47
13
Corinthians Corinthians
38 12 47
14
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
38 13 45
15
Vitoria Vitoria
38 11 45
16
Internacional Internacional
38 11 44
17
Ceara Ceara
38 11 43
18
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
38 11 43
19
Juventude Juventude
38 9 35
20
Sport Recife Sport Recife
38 2 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Sao Paulo

1.73

Draw

3.75

Botafogo

4.75

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Under 2.5

1.95

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.80

No

1.95

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