Bahia
Full Time
Gremio
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Bahia Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
The 3-Way Result pick for Bahia Win shows strong convergence: Bahia's attack is 88% compared to Gremio's 13% and their Poisson rate stands at 73% for home versus 27% away. H2H further supports this with a 60% favoring Bahia, and season goals (78% for home) reinforce the edge. Bahia's overall metrics and home advantage push our confidence to 85% despite some variability in form. This selection carries a Medium-High risk given inherent football uncertainties. The evidence from attack and scoring percentage provides a solid base. It is our highest confidence call.
Best Value
Bahia Win
3-Way Result
The value edge is clearest with the 3-Way Result on a Bahia Win, where odds of 1.73 combined with an 85% probability yield a calculated value edge of approximately 47%. Key metrics including an 88% attacking strength versus Gremio's 13%, and a Poisson distribution of 73% for home, support this. H2H records also lean 60% in Bahia's favor. Despite the match’s inherent risks, the statistical convergence justifies a High value rating.
85%
prob.
1.73
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Bahia Win
Bahia att 88% vs Gremio att 13%
85%
odds 1.73
Double Chance
Bahia or Draw
H2H home 60% advantage for Bahia
82%
odds 1.2
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Bahia Gremio Bahia Gremio Gremio Bahia Gremio Bahia Bahia Gremio +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 38 | 23 | 79 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 76 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 |  Mirassol | 38 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 |  Botafogo | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 | Bahia ● | 38 | 17 | 60 |
| 8 |  Sao Paulo | 38 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 | Gremio ● | 38 | 13 | 49 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 48 |
| 11 |  Atletico-MG | 38 | 12 | 48 |
| 12 |  Santos | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 13 |  Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 38 | 13 | 45 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 45 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 38 | 11 | 44 |
| 17 |  Ceara | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 18 |  Fortaleza EC | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 19 |  Juventude | 38 | 9 | 35 |
| 20 |  Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 17 |
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