Atletico-MG
Full Time
Mirassol
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Atletico-MG or Draw
Double Chance
75%
confidence
Our best bet is the Double Chance on Atletico-MG or Draw, supported by a strong head‐to‐head record of 80% in favor of Atletico-MG and Atletico’s 2 clean sheets at home this season. Despite Mirassol’s better form (64% versus 36%), the double chance hedges against a potential upset. The season stats show Atletico’s defense and low failed-to-score rate (only 1 at home) offer added protection. Additionally, the recent H2H results (a 1-0 win and a 2-2 draw) reinforce a safe outcome. This convergence of evidence minimizes risk while covering key vulnerabilities. The overall reliability of the double chance makes it a conservative 75% confidence pick.
Best Value
Atletico-MG Win
3-Way Result
The 3-Way Result predicting an Atletico-MG win offers significant value given its implied odds of 2.05, which equates to an implied probability of roughly 48.8%. Our integrated assessment, notably the 80% head‐to‐head advantage and a 60% home goals metric, boosts our confidence to 80%. This creates a value edge exceeding 30% over the bookmaker’s expectation. Season stats such as Atletico’s 2 home clean sheets further support this choice. Although away form for Mirassol (64%) introduces some risk, the evidence converges well here. This makes it the best value option.
80%
prob.
2.05
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Atletico-MG Win
Head-to-head: 80% in favor of Atletico-MG
80%
odds 2.05
Double Chance
Atletico-MG or Draw
Atletico-MG home clean sheets: 2 vs Mirassol’s 0
75%
odds 1.28
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Atletico-MG Mirassol Atletico-MG Mirassol Mirassol Atletico-MG League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Flamengo | 38 | 23 | 79 |
| 2 |  Palmeiras | 38 | 23 | 76 |
| 3 |  Cruzeiro | 38 | 19 | 70 |
| 4 | Mirassol ● | 38 | 18 | 67 |
| 5 |  Fluminense | 38 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 |  Botafogo | 38 | 17 | 63 |
| 7 |  Bahia | 38 | 17 | 60 |
| 8 |  Sao Paulo | 38 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 |  Gremio | 38 | 13 | 49 |
| 10 |  RB Bragantino | 38 | 14 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico-MG ● | 38 | 12 | 48 |
| 12 |  Santos | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 13 |  Corinthians | 38 | 12 | 47 |
| 14 |  Vasco DA Gama | 38 | 13 | 45 |
| 15 |  Vitoria | 38 | 11 | 45 |
| 16 |  Internacional | 38 | 11 | 44 |
| 17 |  Ceara | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 18 |  Fortaleza EC | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 19 |  Juventude | 38 | 9 | 35 |
| 20 |  Sport Recife | 38 | 2 | 17 |
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