Football โ€บ
Serie A Serie A
ยท Regular Season - 16
Atletico Paranaense

Atletico Paranaense

1โ€“1

Full Time

Flamengo

Flamengo

๐ŸŸ Arena da Baixada, Curitiba
๐ŸŸก Rafael Rodrigo Klein, Brazil
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 16
๐Ÿ“… 2026

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Draw/Away

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.3 bookmaker Low Risk

The data shows a strong safety margin with Flamengo's superior metrics, as their away form is 87% in the last 5 and the comparison att favors them at 69% versus Atletico's 31%. Additionally, the H2H record is 71% in favor of Flamengo, and combining these with a 59.2% overall away advantage yields a very secure double chance. This pick minimizes risk while covering a draw scenario. However, note that even in strong matchups, football can be unpredictable. We assign a 90% probability based on convergence of evidence.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Flamengo Win

3-Way Result

The value bet focuses on the 3-Way market with a prediction of Flamengo Win, which is supported by strong evidence: a 71% H2H advantage for Flamengo and an away attacking percentage of 69% compared to Atletico's 31%. The historical patterns and superior last-5 form of 87% for Flamengo further reinforce this pick. Despite being slightly riskier than the best bet, the implied value edge is significant. The probability is set at 85%, and the convergence of multiple independent metrics suggests a high value.

85%

prob.

2.2

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Flamengo Win

71% away win in H2H

85%

odds 2.2

Double Chance

Draw/Away

59.2% overall away advantage

90%

odds 1.3

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
WDLWL
Flamengo
Flamengo
WDDWW

Current Standings

2
Flamengo
Flamengo
16 P 9 W 31 Pts
4
Atletico Paranaense
Atletico Paranaense
17 P 8 W 27 Pts

Head to Head

17 May 26
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
1โ€“1
Flamengo Flamengo
D
29 Sept 24
Flamengo Flamengo
1โ€“0
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
H
16 Jun 24
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
1โ€“1
Flamengo Flamengo
D
14 Sept 23
Flamengo Flamengo
0โ€“3
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
A
13 Jul 23
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
0โ€“2
Flamengo Flamengo
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Flamengo Flamengo โ—
38 23 79
2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
38 23 76
3
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
38 19 70
4
Mirassol Mirassol
38 18 67
5
Fluminense Fluminense
38 19 64
6
Botafogo Botafogo
38 17 63
7
Bahia Bahia
38 17 60
8
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
38 14 51
9
Gremio Gremio
38 13 49
10
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
38 14 48
11
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
38 12 48
12
Santos Santos
38 12 47
13
Corinthians Corinthians
38 12 47
14
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
38 13 45
15
Vitoria Vitoria
38 11 45
16
Internacional Internacional
38 11 44
17
Ceara Ceara
38 11 43
18
Fortaleza EC Fortaleza EC
38 11 43
19
Juventude Juventude
38 9 35
20
Sport Recife Sport Recife
38 2 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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