Football
Serie A Serie A
· Regular Season - 4
Botafogo

Botafogo

0–0

Full Time

Vitoria

Vitoria

🏟 Estádio Nilton Santos, Rio de Janeiro
🟡 Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro, Brazil
📋 Regular Season - 4
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result pick of a Home Win is supported by multiple independent metrics: a 74% Poisson distribution for Botafogo and 75% H2H favoring the home side. Season stats also show Botafogo scoring 15 home goals versus Vitoria’s 7 away goals. Although last-5 form is slightly weaker (33% vs 47%), overall evidence including comparison metrics drives the prediction. H2H results largely contain low-scoring draws but still tilt towards Botafogo winning at home. This prediction carries moderate risk and is chosen with an 80% probability.

Best Value

Home/Draw

Double Chance

The Double Chance market with a Home/Draw selection offers a strong value edge with converging evidence from both comparison and historical data. Botafogo’s 74% Poisson and 75% H2H advantage, paired with a season statistic of 15 home goals versus 7 by Vitoria, supports a safety net bet. This option is assigned a high probability of 90%, reflecting its broad coverage of outcomes. The applied bookmaker odds of 1.50 create an attractive value edge, and the data convergence underlines its appeal despite typical match variance.

90%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

Poisson 74% for home and H2H 75%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Home/Draw

74% Poisson and 75% H2H in favor of home

90%

odds 0

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Botafogo
Botafogo
WDWWL
Vitoria
Vitoria
WWWLW

Current Standings

9
Botafogo
Botafogo
19 P 7 W 26 Pts
11
Vitoria
Vitoria
19 P 7 W 26 Pts

Head to Head

23 Jul 26
Botafogo Botafogo
0–0
Vitoria Vitoria
D
9 Nov 25
Vitoria Vitoria
0–0
Botafogo Botafogo
D
17 Jul 25
Botafogo Botafogo
0–0
Vitoria Vitoria
D
23 Nov 24
Botafogo Botafogo
1–1
Vitoria Vitoria
D
12 Jul 24
Vitoria Vitoria
0–1
Botafogo Botafogo
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Palmeiras Palmeiras
19 13 44
2
Flamengo Flamengo
18 11 37
3
Atletico Paranaense Atletico Paranaense
19 10 33
4
Fluminense Fluminense
19 9 32
5
RB Bragantino RB Bragantino
19 9 30
6
Bahia Bahia
19 8 30
7
Corinthians Corinthians
19 7 27
8
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
19 7 27
9
Botafogo Botafogo
19 7 26
10
Coritiba Coritiba
19 7 26
11
Vitoria Vitoria
19 7 26
12
Sao Paulo Sao Paulo
19 7 25
13
Atletico-MG Atletico-MG
19 7 25
14
Internacional Internacional
19 5 21
15
Santos Santos
19 5 21
16
Gremio Gremio
19 5 21
17
Vasco DA Gama Vasco DA Gama
19 5 20
18
Mirassol Mirassol
18 5 19
19
Remo Remo
19 4 18
20
Chapecoense-sc Chapecoense-sc
19 1 9
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Botafogo

1.80

Draw

3.50

Vitoria

5.00

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.85

Under 2.5

1.95

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.75

No

2.00

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