Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 27
Atlanta United FC

Atlanta United FC

vs

Not Started

New York City FC

New York City FC

🏟 Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta
📋 Regular Season - 27
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

The Under 2.5 goals market is strongly supported by season under_over thresholds with Atlanta showing 23 under occurrences in 2.5 and NYC with 20 under occurrences. Comparison metrics also favor a low scoring match with percentages of 43% for home goals and 57% for away goals, indicating a conservative scoring pattern. H2H data and multiple draws like 1-1 and 2-2 reinforce a lean scoring affair. This pick carries an 80% probability with convergent evidence from season stats and head-to-head outcomes. Risk is deemed Medium given minor fluctuations in team form. Overall, the statistical indications are aligned toward a tight, low-scoring game.

Best Value

New York City FC

Team to Score First

The value in the Team to Score First market is notable given NYC FC’s strong history of scoring first, as seen in a recent 4-0 win and consistent scoring patterns. Despite mixed H2H outcomes, NYC FC’s 100% penalty conversion and recent form support an aggressive early goal. Comparison metrics and season stats point to NYC FC’s ability to make an early impact, and setting a probability at 80% with an assumed bookmaker odds of 1.85 creates a substantial edge. This option is presented with a 48% theoretical edge, reflecting strong value despite inherent match uncertainties. The convergence of statistical evidence and scoring trends backs this selection. Risk remains Medium-High in early scoring bets.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Draw

H2H 50%-50% and away form at 55%

70%

odds 1.43

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Away form 55% and NYC FC clean sheets total 5

75%

odds 1.33

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Atlanta United FC
Atlanta United FC
No data
New York City FC
New York City FC
DLLLL

Head to Head

12 Jun 25
New York City FC New York City FC
4–0
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
H
29 Mar 25
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
4–3
New York City FC New York City FC
H
17 Jul 24
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
2–2
New York City FC New York City FC
D
6 Apr 24
New York City FC New York City FC
1–1
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
D
21 Jun 23
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
2–2
New York City FC New York City FC
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 49
2
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
26 13 44
3
St. Louis City St. Louis City
26 12 44
4
FC Dallas FC Dallas
26 12 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 42
6
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
27 11 41
7
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
26 11 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 33
9
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
26 9 32
10
San Diego San Diego
26 8 31
11
Austin Austin
26 7 30
12
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
25 8 29
13
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
24 7 29
14
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
26 7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
25 5 18
1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
26 17 57
2
New England Revolution New England Revolution
26 14 46
3
Inter Miami Inter Miami
26 12 46
4
Charlotte Charlotte
26 12 43
5
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
25 11 39
6
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
26 10 36
7
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
26 10 34
8
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
26 9 33
9
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
25 8 33
10
New York City FC New York City FC
26 8 32
11
DC United DC United
25 6 29
12
Toronto FC Toronto FC
26 6 29
13
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
26 7 26
14
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
26 7 26
15
CF Montreal CF Montreal
26 5 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Atlanta United FC

2.15

Draw

3.60

New York City FC

3.00

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.70

Under 2.5

2.10

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.62

No

2.20

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