Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 25
FC Dallas

FC Dallas

2–1

Full Time

Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers

🏟 Toyota Stadium, Frisco
🟡 T. Ford
📋 Regular Season - 25
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

FC Dallas Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.75 bookmaker Medium Risk

FC Dallas hold a 59% form advantage over 41% for Portland Timbers and a 75% head-to-head edge, with home records showing 4 wins in 10 matches. The Poisson distribution of 55% for FC Dallas supports this outcome and season stats underline a solid attacking and defensive balance. Although previous meetings have seen some 2-2 draws, multiple independent metrics converge to favor a win for FC Dallas. Overall, the evidence supports an FC Dallas win with moderate risk.

Best Value

FC Dallas Win

3-Way Result

FC Dallas Win carries an estimated probability of 80%, where fair odds would be 1.25, giving a value edge of approximately 40% relative to the bookmaker odds of 1.75. Comparison metrics (59% form and 75% head-to-head) and season data support this pick, indicating that the market is mispriced. Despite occasional drawn outcomes in previous encounters, the convergence of evidence favors the home side strongly. This option offers significant value with moderate risk and high confidence.

80%

prob.

1.75

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

FC Dallas Win

FC Dallas form 59% vs 41% for Portland

80%

odds 1.75

Double Chance

FC Dallas or Draw

75% head-to-head advantage for FC Dallas

90%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

FC Dallas
FC Dallas
LWWLW
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
DWLWL

Current Standings

4
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
26 P 12 W 44 Pts
9
Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
26 P 9 W 32 Pts

Head to Head

13 Sept 26
FC Dallas FC Dallas
2–1
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
H
23 Jul 26
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
2–2
FC Dallas FC Dallas
D
28 Sept 25
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
2–2
FC Dallas FC Dallas
D
10 Aug 25
FC Dallas FC Dallas
2–0
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
H
6 Oct 24
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
0–0
FC Dallas FC Dallas
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
25 15 49
2
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
26 13 44
3
St. Louis City St. Louis City
26 12 44
4
FC Dallas FC Dallas
26 12 44
5
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
26 12 42
6
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
27 11 41
7
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
26 11 36
8
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
27 8 33
9
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
26 9 32
10
San Diego San Diego
26 8 31
11
Austin Austin
26 7 30
12
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
25 8 29
13
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
24 7 29
14
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
26 7 29
15
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
25 5 18
1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
26 17 57
2
New England Revolution New England Revolution
26 14 46
3
Inter Miami Inter Miami
26 12 46
4
Charlotte Charlotte
26 12 43
5
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
25 11 39
6
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
26 10 36
7
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
26 10 34
8
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
26 9 33
9
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
25 8 33
10
New York City FC New York City FC
26 8 32
11
DC United DC United
25 6 29
12
Toronto FC Toronto FC
26 6 29
13
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
26 7 26
14
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
26 7 26
15
CF Montreal CF Montreal
26 5 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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