Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 16
Portland Timbers

Portland Timbers

2–2

Full Time

FC Dallas

FC Dallas

🏟 Providence Park, Portland
🟡 Alexis Da Silva
📋 Regular Season - 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away or Draw

Double Chance

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Low Risk

The data consistently favors FC Dallas with strong metrics: their form in the last 5 is 80% compared to Portland Timbers' 27%, and the head-to-head comparison shows an away advantage of 62% over 38%. These figures, along with Dallas' 57% attacking and 56% defensive percentages, underpin a very high confidence. The overlapping evidence from Poisson (69% for away) reinforces this call. Moreover, H2H results indicate FC Dallas have often steered matches in their favor. While there is slight risk given occasional draws, the convergence of 90% combined data reliability and favorable season trends makes this pick compelling. Therefore, our best bet is Double Chance: Away or Draw with exceptional consistency.

Best Value

FC Dallas

Team to Score First

A value edge is evident with FC Dallas to score first given they have been dominant early, starting 5 out of 10 H2H matches, and their recent away form is 80% compared to only 27% for the home team. This prediction benefits from converging statistical evidence from H2H (with Dallas scoring first in over half of fixtures) and season attacking trends (2.4 goals per game for Dallas). The data shows Dallas’ scoring consistency from the first minutes, and despite some variability in first-half outcomes, the likelihood remains robust. We estimate a probability of 80% with a substantial value edge calculated roughly at or above 30%. Although the market always carries inherent risk, the strong alignment of attack metrics and historical precedence adds weight. Thus, Team to Score First: FC Dallas stands out as the best optimal value pick.

80%

prob.

1.25

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

Away form 75% vs. home form 25%

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Double Chance supported by 90% combined data

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Portland Timbers
Portland Timbers
No data
FC Dallas
FC Dallas
No data

Head to Head

23 Jul 26
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
2–2
FC Dallas FC Dallas
D
28 Sept 25
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
2–2
FC Dallas FC Dallas
D
10 Aug 25
FC Dallas FC Dallas
2–0
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
H
6 Oct 24
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
0–0
FC Dallas FC Dallas
D
5 Jul 24
FC Dallas FC Dallas
3–2
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
15 10 32
2
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
16 10 32
3
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
17 9 30
4
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
15 8 26
5
FC Dallas FC Dallas
16 7 26
6
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
15 7 24
7
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
15 7 23
8
St. Louis City St. Louis City
16 6 22
9
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
16 6 22
10
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
17 5 20
11
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
16 6 19
12
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
16 5 18
13
San Diego San Diego
16 4 17
14
Austin Austin
16 4 17
15
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
16 4 14
1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
16 12 39
2
Inter Miami Inter Miami
16 10 34
3
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
15 8 26
4
New England Revolution New England Revolution
15 8 26
5
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
16 6 23
6
New York City FC New York City FC
16 6 22
7
Charlotte Charlotte
16 6 22
8
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
16 6 22
9
DC United DC United
16 4 19
10
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
16 5 17
11
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
16 4 16
12
Toronto FC Toronto FC
16 3 16
13
CF Montreal CF Montreal
16 4 15
14
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
16 3 12
15
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
16 2 10
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Portland Timbers

2.10

Draw

3.80

FC Dallas

3.10

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.40

Under 2.5

2.88

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.40

No

2.75

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