Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 16
Los Angeles Galaxy

Los Angeles Galaxy

1–3

Full Time

St. Louis City

St. Louis City

🏟 Dignity Health Sports Park, Los Angeles
🟡 Malik Badawi
📋 Regular Season - 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Medium Risk

The season under/over data shows a dominant trend for low scoring, with Los Angeles Galaxy recording under 2.5 in 14 out of 15 matches and St. Louis City in 12 out of 14 matches. H2H results and the comparison metrics support a low scoring affair, as the home poisson distribution is 70% yet the over/under thresholds strongly favor under. Multiple metrics, including Galaxy’s season averages (1.4 goals for and 1.5 against) and solid defensive percentages, align towards a low score. This convergence of evidence across season, comparison and H2H data drives a high-confidence pick. Considering these factors, predicting Under 2.5 goals comes with a probability of 90%. The risk remains moderate due to slight variations in match dynamics. Overall, the data’s consistency reinforces this prediction.

Best Value

Under 2.5

Goals Over/Under

The goals market shows a strong value edge with Under 2.5 backed by season trends; Los Angeles Galaxy under 2.5 appears in 14 out of 15 matches and St. Louis City under in 12 out of 14. Both teams have modest scoring averages with Galaxy averaging 1.5 and St. Louis City 1.1 goals per game. Comparison metrics also lean towards a low scoring game, with opposing defensive strengths and h2h trends supporting low totals. With convergent evidence from Poisson distribution (70% for home) and competitive defensive stats, this under option stands out. The prediction carries a 90% probability with a robust value edge. Although the market is generally conservative, this pick offers a substantial edge.

90%

prob.

1.11

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H advantage is 62% for away

85%

odds 1.18

Double Chance

Away Win or Draw

Away team form is 67% versus home 53%

90%

odds 1.11

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
WLWDW
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
WWLWL

Current Standings

8
St. Louis City
St. Louis City
16 P 6 W 22 Pts
10
Los Angeles Galaxy
Los Angeles Galaxy
17 P 5 W 20 Pts

Head to Head

23 Jul 26
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
1–3
St. Louis City St. Louis City
A
11 Feb 26
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
3–0
St. Louis City St. Louis City
H
14 Jun 25
St. Louis City St. Louis City
3–3
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
D
9 Mar 25
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
0–3
St. Louis City St. Louis City
A
1 Sept 24
St. Louis City St. Louis City
2–1
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
15 10 32
2
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
16 10 32
3
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
17 9 30
4
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
15 8 26
5
FC Dallas FC Dallas
16 7 26
6
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
15 7 24
7
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
15 7 23
8
St. Louis City St. Louis City
16 6 22
9
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
16 6 22
10
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
17 5 20
11
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
16 6 19
12
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
16 5 18
13
San Diego San Diego
16 4 17
14
Austin Austin
16 4 17
15
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
16 4 14
1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
16 12 39
2
Inter Miami Inter Miami
16 10 34
3
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
15 8 26
4
New England Revolution New England Revolution
15 8 26
5
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
16 6 23
6
New York City FC New York City FC
16 6 22
7
Charlotte Charlotte
16 6 22
8
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
16 6 22
9
DC United DC United
16 4 19
10
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
16 5 17
11
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
16 4 16
12
Toronto FC Toronto FC
16 3 16
13
CF Montreal CF Montreal
16 4 15
14
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
16 3 12
15
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
16 2 10
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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