Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 16
Nashville SC

Nashville SC

1–0

Full Time

CF Montreal

CF Montreal

🏟 Geodis Park, Nashville
🟡 Marcos De Oliveira
📋 Regular Season - 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Home Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.11 calculated Medium-High Risk

Nashville SC is strongly favored as the home team with 69% home form and a 78% Poisson probability highlighting their scoring potential. H2H results support this with a 62% home advantage, including decisive wins like a 3-0 victory. Their season record, with 6 wins in 7 home matches and an average of 3.3 goals, further reinforces the prediction for a Home Win. The convergence of multiple metrics – 73% goal metric and consistent win patterns – adds to the confidence despite occasional draws. This alignment across comparison, H2H, and season stats makes the Home Win a strong pick.

Best Value

Nashville SC

Team to Score First

The best value option emerges in the Team to Score First market, where Nashville SC’s attacking trend is evident in several H2H fixtures. Despite an 80% probability, the value is boosted by assumed bookmaker odds of 2.20 compared to fair odds of 1.25. This significant discrepancy – roughly a 76% edge – is underpinned by a 73% overall goal percentage and strong home form. Season stats also indicate a recurring pattern of Nashville scoring first, which consolidates this pick. While there is some risk, the large value edge makes this bet highly appealing.

80%

prob.

0

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Home Win

69% home form and 78% Poisson probability

90%

odds 1.11

Double Chance

Home or Draw

67.3% total home advantage and 62% H2H favor

93%

odds 1.08

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Nashville SC
Nashville SC
No data
CF Montreal
CF Montreal
No data

Head to Head

23 Jul 26
Nashville SC Nashville SC
1–0
CF Montreal CF Montreal
H
4 Oct 25
CF Montreal CF Montreal
1–1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
D
23 Mar 25
Nashville SC Nashville SC
3–0
CF Montreal CF Montreal
H
25 May 24
CF Montreal CF Montreal
0–0
Nashville SC Nashville SC
D
5 May 24
Nashville SC Nashville SC
4–1
CF Montreal CF Montreal
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
15 10 32
2
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
16 10 32
3
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
17 9 30
4
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
15 8 26
5
FC Dallas FC Dallas
16 7 26
6
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
15 7 24
7
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
15 7 23
8
St. Louis City St. Louis City
16 6 22
9
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
16 6 22
10
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
17 5 20
11
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
16 6 19
12
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
16 5 18
13
San Diego San Diego
16 4 17
14
Austin Austin
16 4 17
15
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
16 4 14
1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
16 12 39
2
Inter Miami Inter Miami
16 10 34
3
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
15 8 26
4
New England Revolution New England Revolution
15 8 26
5
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
16 6 23
6
New York City FC New York City FC
16 6 22
7
Charlotte Charlotte
16 6 22
8
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
16 6 22
9
DC United DC United
16 4 19
10
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
16 5 17
11
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
16 4 16
12
Toronto FC Toronto FC
16 3 16
13
CF Montreal CF Montreal
16 4 15
14
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
16 3 12
15
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
16 2 10
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation

Betting Odds

Match Winner

Nashville SC

1.55

Draw

4.10

CF Montreal

6.00

Goals Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

1.62

Under 2.5

2.25

Both Teams Score

Yes

1.70

No

2.05

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