Columbus Crew
Full Time
New York City FC
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
80%
confidence
Our analysis favors an underwhelming scoring game. Season under/over stats show Columbus Crew under 2.5 occurred 14 times (over only 1) and NYCFC under 2.5 occurred 11 times (over 4), aligning with low scoring patterns. The Poisson distribution of 59% for home and 41% for away further supports a conservative low scoring outcome. H2H matches have featured multiple low scoring draws, adding to the evidence. Despite conflicting form percentages (home 36% vs away 64%), the convergence of season and H2H stats gives confidence. We assign an 80% probability to Under 2.5 Goals with cautious risk.
Best Value
Under 2.5 Goals
Goals Over/Under
Our best optimal value is found in the Under 2.5 Goals market. Both teams’ season under/over records (Columbus Crew: 14 under vs 1 over, NYCFC: 11 under vs 4 over) signal a strong low-scoring tendency. Given our 80% estimated probability, the fair odds would be 1.25; however, a bookmaker line of 1.80 creates a substantial value edge. The comparison metrics and H2H evidence further reinforce this low scoring outcome. Although there are some risks due to form discrepancies (36% vs 64%), the odds mispricing presents a compelling value. This convergence of evidence gives us high confidence with a significant edge.
80%
prob.
0
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Draw
H2H draws occurred in at least 4 out of 8 matches
65%
odds 1.54
Double Chance
Away or Draw
Away form stands at 64% compared to home 36%
70%
odds 1.43
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Columbus Crew New York City FC Columbus Crew New York City FC New York City FC Columbus Crew New York City FC Columbus Crew Columbus Crew New York City FC +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 15 | 10 | 32 |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 16 | 10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 17 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 |  Real Salt Lake | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 |  FC Dallas | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Seattle Sounders | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 |  Houston Dynamo | 15 | 7 | 23 |
| 8 |  St. Louis City | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 |  Minnesota United FC | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 |  Colorado Rapids | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Portland Timbers | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 16 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Austin | 16 | 4 | 17 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 16 | 4 | 14 |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 16 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 16 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 |  New England Revolution | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 |  FC Cincinnati | 16 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 | New York City FC ● | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Charlotte | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 |  DC United | 16 | 4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Orlando City SC | 16 | 5 | 17 |
| 11 | Columbus Crew ● | 16 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 |  CF Montreal | 16 | 4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 16 | 3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 16 | 2 | 10 |
Betting Odds
Match Winner
Columbus Crew
1.85
Draw
3.80
New York City FC
3.90
Goals Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
1.85
Under 2.5
1.95
Both Teams Score
Yes
1.75
No
2.00
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