Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 16
FC Cincinnati

FC Cincinnati

4–3

Full Time

Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps

🏟 TQL Stadium, Cincinnati
🟡 Jon Freemon
📋 Regular Season - 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium-High Risk

The data clearly favor an away win with multiple metrics converging: the head-to-head shows a 71% advantage for the away team and the Poisson distribution gives 62% probability for away goals. Additionally, the away team’s comparative defensive strength (67% vs 33%) and superior goals percentage (56% vs 44%) underline this trend. Season stats support a higher scoring advantage for the away team despite both sides having similar recent form (50%). However, the risk remains medium-high given the balance in form and potential for draws, so caution is advised. These evidence points align strongly, yielding an 80% probability. Given the fallback odds calculation, the odds are set at 1.25.

Best Value

Away/Draw

Double Chance

A double chance bet on Away/Draw is attractive considering the combined evidence: the away team shows a 71% edge in head-to-head and a Poisson advantage of 62%, while also benefiting from superior league defensive stats compared to the opposition. The additional safety from covering a draw increases the overall probability. Season data also highlight the away team’s modest failure to score issues and stronger defensive records, providing extra cushion. Despite some risk around form parity, the convergence of odds from various statistical angles gives an overall probability of 85%. This creates a significant value edge, which we rate as 5. The fallback odds for this market are calculated as 1.18.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H advantage for away at 71% and Poisson away at 62%

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away/Draw

H2H away at 71% and Poisson away at 62%

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
No data
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
WDDWW

Current Standings

1
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
15 P 10 W 32 Pts
5
FC Cincinnati
FC Cincinnati
16 P 6 W 23 Pts

League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
15 10 32
2
San Jose Earthquakes San Jose Earthquakes
16 10 32
3
Los Angeles FC Los Angeles FC
17 9 30
4
Real Salt Lake Real Salt Lake
15 8 26
5
FC Dallas FC Dallas
16 7 26
6
Seattle Sounders Seattle Sounders
15 7 24
7
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
15 7 23
8
St. Louis City St. Louis City
16 6 22
9
Minnesota United FC Minnesota United FC
16 6 22
10
Los Angeles Galaxy Los Angeles Galaxy
17 5 20
11
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
16 6 19
12
Portland Timbers Portland Timbers
16 5 18
13
San Diego San Diego
16 4 17
14
Austin Austin
16 4 17
15
Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City
16 4 14
1
Nashville SC Nashville SC
16 12 39
2
Inter Miami Inter Miami
16 10 34
3
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
15 8 26
4
New England Revolution New England Revolution
15 8 26
5
FC Cincinnati FC Cincinnati
16 6 23
6
New York City FC New York City FC
16 6 22
7
Charlotte Charlotte
16 6 22
8
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
16 6 22
9
DC United DC United
16 4 19
10
Orlando City SC Orlando City SC
16 5 17
11
Columbus Crew Columbus Crew
16 4 16
12
Toronto FC Toronto FC
16 3 16
13
CF Montreal CF Montreal
16 4 15
14
Atlanta United FC Atlanta United FC
16 3 12
15
Philadelphia Union Philadelphia Union
16 2 10
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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