St. Louis City
Full Time
Sporting Kansas City
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Home Win
3-Way Result
78%
confidence
The evidence strongly favours St. Louis City to secure a home win with multiple metrics aligning: their form stands at 59% compared to 41% for Sporting Kansas City and the Poisson distribution offers an 83% edge. Their strong defensive record (73% in comparison) coupled with a solid home attack (1.8 goals per game) reinforce this view despite balanced H2H data. The last-5 stats showing a 67% form for City against a 47% for KC further support a home win. However, some risk persists due to mixed historical head-to-head outcomes. Hence, this pick carries a cautious 78% confidence level.
Best Value
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
Value analysis indicates a strong edge in the Goals Over/Under market with an Under 2.5 pick. Both teams exhibit tendencies towards low-scoring affairs with City recording an under in 12 out of 14 home fixtures and Sporting in 13 out of 14 away fixtures. Comparison metrics and seasonal under/over data support a low-scoring match. Despite usual scoring variability seen in H2H results, the convergence of season stats and last-5 performance makes this a compelling value option at high probability.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Home Win
Home form at 59% vs away 41%
78%
odds 1.28
Double Chance
Home or Draw
Last-5 form 67% for City vs 47% for KC
80%
odds 1.25
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
St. Louis City Sporting Kansas City St. Louis City Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City St. Louis City St. Louis City Sporting Kansas City Sporting Kansas City St. Louis City +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 15 | 10 | 32 |
| 2 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 16 | 10 | 32 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 17 | 9 | 30 |
| 4 |  Real Salt Lake | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 |  FC Dallas | 16 | 7 | 26 |
| 6 |  Seattle Sounders | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 |  Houston Dynamo | 15 | 7 | 23 |
| 8 | St. Louis City ● | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 |  Minnesota United FC | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 10 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 17 | 5 | 20 |
| 11 |  Colorado Rapids | 16 | 6 | 19 |
| 12 |  Portland Timbers | 16 | 5 | 18 |
| 13 |  San Diego | 16 | 4 | 17 |
| 14 |  Austin | 16 | 4 | 17 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City ● | 16 | 4 | 14 |
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 16 | 12 | 39 |
| 2 |  Inter Miami | 16 | 10 | 34 |
| 3 |  Chicago Fire | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 4 |  New England Revolution | 15 | 8 | 26 |
| 5 |  FC Cincinnati | 16 | 6 | 23 |
| 6 |  New York City FC | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Charlotte | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 16 | 6 | 22 |
| 9 |  DC United | 16 | 4 | 19 |
| 10 |  Orlando City SC | 16 | 5 | 17 |
| 11 |  Columbus Crew | 16 | 4 | 16 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 16 | 3 | 16 |
| 13 |  CF Montreal | 16 | 4 | 15 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 16 | 3 | 12 |
| 15 |  Philadelphia Union | 16 | 2 | 10 |
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