Football
Major League Soccer Major League Soccer
· Regular Season - 16
Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire

vs

Not Started

Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps

🏟 Soldier Field, Chicago
🟡 S. Boiko
📋 Regular Season - 16
📅 2026

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Away Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.25 calculated Medium Risk

The analysis strongly favors an away win with multiple metrics: the Poisson distribution shows a 56% chance for Vancouver compared to 44% for Chicago, and the H2H record indicates a 60% success rate for Vancouver. Additionally, season stats reveal Vancouver’s superior scoring average (2.4) versus Chicago’s 1.9. Despite Chicago’s slightly better recent form (53% vs 47%), the converging evidence supports an away win. This pick carries moderate risk given the minor form conflict. The integrated data leads to an 80% probability for an away win.

Best Value

Away or Draw

Double Chance

Double Chance offers value since adding the draw to the away win increases the success rate. With an estimated probability of 85%, this market benefits from the same data points that favor Vancouver in H2H (60%) and the Poisson distribution (56% away). The season averages also support a robust attacking display from Vancouver. Despite slight differences in recent form, the evidence converges well and the added safety of a double chance provides a value edge. This option is assessed to carry a significant value edge of 30%.

85%

prob.

1.18

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Away Win

H2H 60% in favor of away

80%

odds 1.25

Double Chance

Away or Draw

Estimated 85% probability for double chance

85%

odds 1.18

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
LDWWW
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
DWWLW

Current Standings

1
Vancouver Whitecaps
Vancouver Whitecaps
25 P 15 W 49 Pts
5
Chicago Fire
Chicago Fire
25 P 11 W 39 Pts

Head to Head

23 Mar 25
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
1–3
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
A
31 Aug 23
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
0–1
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
A
24 Jul 22
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
1–3
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
A
10 Apr 21
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
3–2
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
H
23 Jul 20
Chicago Fire Chicago Fire
0–2
Vancouver Whitecaps Vancouver Whitecaps
A

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