St. Louis City
Full Time
Austin
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
St. Louis City
Home/Away
80%
confidence
St. Louis City shows a slight edge with a home Poisson distribution of 64% compared to Austin’s 36%, and the head-to-head data favors the home side with 60% over 40%. The home team also wins 5 out of 8 past encounters, supporting a solid home advantage. Season stats indicate a balanced performance but with St. Louis City’s sturdy defense (56% vs 44% in opponents’ defense) favoring them. Given these converging signals, the Home/Away market appears highly reliable despite some variability in recent form. The risk remains medium given the competitive nature of both teams. Overall, we assign an 80% probability for a St. Louis City win in the Home/Away market.
Best Value
St. Louis City Win
3-Way Result
The 3-Way Result market offers significant value with bookmaker odds of 1.67, while our data supports a home win. St. Louis City has won 5 of 8 head-to-head matches and the Poisson comparison gives them a 64% edge at home, which when combined with a 60% h2h favorability boosts confidence. Our assigned probability of 85% exceeds the implied 60% probability from the odds, yielding a value edge well above 30%. Season statistics also lean towards the home side despite mixed attacking figures. Evidence from multiple independent metrics aligns in favor of a home victory with a compelling margin. This option presents a robust value pick with managed risk.
85%
prob.
1.67
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
St. Louis City Win
Home Poisson: 64% and 5 wins out of 8 H2H matches
85%
odds 1.67
Double Chance
St. Louis City or Draw
H2H: 60% for home and 5/8 wins
78%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Diego | 34 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 18 | 63 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | 17 | 60 |
| 4 |  Minnesota United FC | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 |  Seattle Sounders | 34 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Austin ● | 34 | 13 | 47 |
| 7 |  FC Dallas | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | 12 | 41 |
| 10 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | 11 | 41 |
| 12 |  Houston Dynamo | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 13 | St. Louis City ● | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 14 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 7 | 30 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 28 |
| 1 |  Philadelphia Union | 34 | 20 | 66 |
| 2 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 34 | 19 | 65 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 34 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 |  New York City FC | 34 | 17 | 56 |
| 6 |  Nashville SC | 34 | 16 | 54 |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 54 |
| 8 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | 15 | 53 |
| 9 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | 14 | 53 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 11 |  New England Revolution | 34 | 9 | 36 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | 6 | 32 |
| 13 |  CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 28 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | 5 | 28 |
| 15 |  DC United | 34 | 5 | 26 |
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