New England Revolution
Full Time
Minnesota United FC
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
New England Revolution Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
The 3-Way Result pick for a New England Revolution win is strongly supported by the data, with a Poisson distribution of 70% favoring the home side and H2H metrics showing a 71% advantage. Comparison metrics also favor the home team (59% form vs 41%) and a goals percentage of 61% versus 39%, reinforcing this outcome. Season stats further underline home strength, as seen in consistent home win records. H2H evidence from 5 recent matches shows New England winning 3 times. This converges to give an 85% probability, though inherent uncertainty in football means a medium risk level.
Best Value
New England Revolution Win
3-Way Result
The best optimal value remains the 3-Way Result for a New England Revolution win, which provides a high expected edge. With an 85% probability and odds of 2.15, the calculated value edge is over 80%, clearly surpassing the 30% threshold for value selection. Comparison metrics (70% Poisson advantage and 71% H2H favoring home) along with season goal trends converge on this outcome. Despite the high value, there remains normal match variability which is noted in the risk. This option thus meets both the probability and value criteria and is rated with a value rating of 5.
85%
prob.
2.15
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
New England Revolution Win
Poisson 70% home and H2H 71% advantage
85%
odds 2.15
Double Chance
New England Revolution or Draw
Home form 59% and total advantage 60.2%
90%
odds 1.36
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  San Diego | 34 | 19 | 63 |
| 2 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 18 | 63 |
| 3 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | 17 | 60 |
| 4 | Minnesota United FC ● | 34 | 16 | 58 |
| 5 |  Seattle Sounders | 34 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 |  Austin | 34 | 13 | 47 |
| 7 |  FC Dallas | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 8 |  Portland Timbers | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | 12 | 41 |
| 10 |  San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 11 | 41 |
| 11 |  Colorado Rapids | 34 | 11 | 41 |
| 12 |  Houston Dynamo | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 13 |  St. Louis City | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 14 |  Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 7 | 30 |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 28 |
| 1 |  Philadelphia Union | 34 | 20 | 66 |
| 2 |  FC Cincinnati | 34 | 20 | 65 |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 34 | 19 | 65 |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 34 | 19 | 59 |
| 5 |  New York City FC | 34 | 17 | 56 |
| 6 |  Nashville SC | 34 | 16 | 54 |
| 7 |  Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 54 |
| 8 |  Chicago Fire | 34 | 15 | 53 |
| 9 |  Orlando City SC | 34 | 14 | 53 |
| 10 |  New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 11 | New England Revolution ● | 34 | 9 | 36 |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 34 | 6 | 32 |
| 13 |  CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 28 |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | 5 | 28 |
| 15 |  DC United | 34 | 5 | 26 |
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