GIL Vicente
Full Time
Arouca
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
GIL Vicente or Draw
Double Chance
80%
confidence
Our best bet is to take the Double Chance on GIL Vicente or Draw. The home side shows a strong defensive percentage of 64% compared to Arouca's 36%, and season data reveals 9 wins and 3 draws in 16 home fixtures, amounting to a 75% combined outcome. Comparison metrics also lean in favor with a Poisson score probability of 75% for home. H2H evidence, with 6 draws out of 10 encounters, reinforces a balanced result. This converging evidence makes for a safe, ultra-conservative pick with minimal risk. Given these factors, we assign a probability of 80%.
Best Value
GIL Vicente Win
Second Half Winner
The best optimal pick is the Second Half Winner market, backing a GIL Vicente second half win. Home team metrics are compelling with a Poisson probability of 75% and better seasonal defensive records, while the matchup’s dynamics shift in the latter period. This is supported by season data where GIL Vicente not only secures 9 home wins but also shows strong second-half performances, offering a value edge. The bookmaker odds of 2.05 translate to an implied probability of roughly 49%, offering over a 30% edge when compared against our conservative 80% estimate. Multiple data points converge in favor of a decisive home finish in the later stages, albeit with some inherent match risks. Thus, we assign a probability of 80% with a value rating of 5.
80%
prob.
2.05
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
GIL Vicente Win
Home wins: 9 out of 16 (56%)
70%
odds 1.7
Double Chance
GIL Vicente or Draw
Combined outcome in 12 of 16 matches (75%)
80%
odds 1.18
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
GIL Vicente Arouca Arouca GIL Vicente GIL Vicente Arouca Arouca GIL Vicente GIL Vicente Arouca +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 88 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 82 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 80 |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 59 |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 56 |
| 6 | GIL Vicente ● | 34 | 13 | 50 |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 | Arouca ● | 34 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 42 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 36 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 36 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 34 |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 30 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 30 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 21 |
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