Alverca
Full Time
Estoril
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Alverca Win
3-Way Result
85%
confidence
Alverca’s dominance is evident with a 90% home form and a 64% attacking metric, reinforced by a last-5 form of 60% versus Estoril’s 7%. Despite H2H splits at 50-50, season stats favor the home side with stronger attack and clean sheet numbers. This convergence of multiple metrics supports an Alverca win even with some variance in Poisson (43% vs 57%). The overall risk is moderate due to a slight conflict in early tempo records. Confidence in this pick is high at 85%.
Best Value
Alverca or Draw
Double Chance
The Double Chance bet on 'Alverca or Draw' leverages Alverca’s superior home form of 90% and strong attacking edge (64%) against a weak away profile, where Estoril records only 7% form. This market minimizes risk by covering a draw while still capitalizing on home strength. The statistical data across comparison and season metrics deliver a converged probability of 93%, yielding a value edge of approximately 30%. With overall evidence converging and low downside risk noted, this represents the best optimal value pick.
93%
prob.
1.4
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Alverca Win
Home form 90% vs Away 10%
85%
odds 2.38
Double Chance
Alverca or Draw
Last-5 form: 60% for Alverca vs 7% for Estoril
93%
odds 1.4
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Alverca Estoril Estoril Alverca Estoril Alverca League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 88 |
| 2 |  Sporting CP | 34 | 25 | 82 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 80 |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 59 |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 56 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 50 |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 |  Guimaraes | 34 | 12 | 42 |
| 10 | Estoril ● | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 11 | Alverca ● | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 36 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 36 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 34 |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 30 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 30 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 21 |
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