Sporting CP
Full Time
Guimaraes
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Sporting CP Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
Sporting CP Win stands out given multiple converging metrics: Poisson distribution favors home at 88% and H2H metrics show a 71% advantage. Sporting’s season record also reveals 11 wins out of 15 home matches, reinforcing confidence. The combination of strong home form and consistent scoring makes this pick robust. While risk remains low, the evidence converges to support a 90% likelihood for a Sporting CP win.
Best Value
Sporting CP
Team to Score First
The Team to Score First market offers notable value with Sporting CP expected to clearly lead the action. Their high home goal average of 2.9 and an impeccable scoring record (0 failed-to-score) bolster this view. Comparison metrics and season data point to an 80% probability that Sporting CP will open the scoring. With odds set at 100, the estimated value edge well exceeds the 30% threshold, despite the fallback odds. This convergence of evidence makes it a smart optimal bet.
80%
prob.
1.08
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Sporting CP Win
Poisson 88% for home advantage
90%
odds 1.27
Double Chance
Sporting CP or Draw
22 wins in 31 season fixtures
92%
odds 1.05
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  FC Porto | 34 | 28 | 88 |
| 2 | Sporting CP ● | 34 | 25 | 82 |
| 3 |  Benfica | 34 | 23 | 80 |
| 4 |  SC Braga | 34 | 16 | 59 |
| 5 |  Famalicao | 34 | 15 | 56 |
| 6 |  GIL Vicente | 34 | 13 | 50 |
| 7 |  Moreirense | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 8 |  Arouca | 34 | 12 | 42 |
| 9 | Guimaraes ● | 34 | 12 | 42 |
| 10 |  Estoril | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 11 |  Alverca | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Rio Ave | 34 | 8 | 36 |
| 13 |  Santa Clara | 34 | 9 | 36 |
| 14 |  Nacional | 34 | 9 | 34 |
| 15 |  Estrela | 34 | 6 | 30 |
| 16 |  Casa Pia | 34 | 6 | 30 |
| 17 |  Tondela | 34 | 6 | 28 |
| 18 |  AVS | 34 | 3 | 21 |
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