Football โ€บ
Primeira Liga Primeira Liga
ยท Regular Season - 32
Rio Ave

Rio Ave

0โ€“0

Full Time

GIL Vicente

GIL Vicente

๐ŸŸ Estรกdio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
๐ŸŸก F. Verissimo
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 32
๐Ÿ“… 2025

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

GIL Vicente Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.95 bookmaker Medium Risk

The full match 3-Way Result favors GIL Vicente with multiple converging metrics: H2H indicates a 75% advantage for the away team and the Poisson distribution shows 67% in their favor. Season data reveals Rio Aveโ€™s home struggles, having lost 7 out of 15 matches and scoring an average of only 1.1 goals. Comparison metrics overall point to a stronger away performance with 60% in goals and 58% defensive stability for GIL Vicente. Despite some risk from balanced recent form (50% form for both), the weight of 65% from H2H and Poisson clearly supports an away win. The evidence across 35% and 30% weighting categories confirms consistent support. Hence, choosing GIL Vicente to win achieves an 80% probability at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Best Value

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GIL Vicente/GIL Vicente

HT/FT Double

The HT/FT Double market for GIL Vicente winning both halves offers significant value with an implied probability of only 31.25% from bookmaker odds of 3.20. Convergence of comparison metrics (67% Poisson and 75% H2H) and season performance (1.5 goal average away) support a strong away dominance. By setting our predicted probability at 80%, we achieve a value edge of nearly 49%, which is well above the 30% threshold. This bet leverages the predicted overall dominance of GIL Vicente throughout the match. While the halftime dynamics can be unpredictable, the aggregate evidence supports this pick. The substantial edge justifies the risk with substantial supporting stats.

80%

prob.

3.2

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

GIL Vicente Win

H2H 75% away & Poisson 67% for away

80%

odds 1.95

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Rio Ave 7 home losses & 75% H2H for away

85%

odds 1.28

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Rio Ave
Rio Ave
No data
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
DWLDD

Current Standings

6
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
34 P 13 W 50 Pts
12
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
34 P 8 W 36 Pts

Head to Head

3 May 26
Rio Ave Rio Ave
0โ€“0
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
D
20 Dec 25
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
2โ€“2
Rio Ave Rio Ave
D
2 Aug 25
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
3โ€“1
Rio Ave Rio Ave
H
16 May 25
Rio Ave Rio Ave
1โ€“1
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
D
6 Jan 25
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente
1โ€“1
Rio Ave Rio Ave
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
FC Porto FC Porto
34 28 88
2
Sporting CP Sporting CP
34 25 82
3
Benfica Benfica
34 23 80
4
SC Braga SC Braga
34 16 59
5
Famalicao Famalicao
34 15 56
6
GIL Vicente GIL Vicente โ—
34 13 50
7
Moreirense Moreirense
34 12 43
8
Arouca Arouca
34 12 42
9
Guimaraes Guimaraes
34 12 42
10
Estoril Estoril
34 10 39
11
Alverca Alverca
34 10 39
12
Rio Ave Rio Ave โ—
34 8 36
13
Santa Clara Santa Clara
34 9 36
14
Nacional Nacional
34 9 34
15
Estrela Estrela
34 6 30
16
Casa Pia Casa Pia
34 6 30
17
Tondela Tondela
34 6 28
18
AVS AVS
34 3 21
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
โšฝ ๐Ÿ€ โšพ ๐ŸŽพ ๐Ÿˆ

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