The overall metrics strongly favor an away result: away form is 73% versus home form at 27%, and the head-to-head record shows a 71% advantage for Kasımpaşa. Additionally, away attacking strength is at 78% compared to 22% for home, providing extra incentive. Although the Poisson metric slightly favors the home side at 58%, four out of six comparison factors consistently back an away win. The H2H data also shows several low-scoring draws but overall away wins dominate. Therefore, Kasımpaşa Win is our highest confidence pick with converging evidence. Cumulative probability is estimated at 80%.