Football
Süper Lig Süper Lig
· Regular Season - 33
Başakşehir

Başakşehir

3–0

Full Time

Samsunspor

Samsunspor

🏟 Basaksehir Fatih Terim Stadium, Istanbul
🟡 G. Hasova
📋 Regular Season - 33
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Başakşehir Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.8 bookmaker Medium Risk

Our analysis points to a home victory for Başakşehir. The H2H record shows 6 wins out of 9 (67%) and comparison metrics indicate a 78% advantage in goals for the home side. Additionally, Poisson distribution favors Başakşehir at 61% over 39% for the away team. While the overall form is mixed (40% home vs 60% away), the accumulated H2H and goal metrics strongly suggest a Başakşehir win. We thus lean on an 80% probability for a home victory. This option carries moderate risk given the conflicting form percentages. The evidence makes this our highest confidence pick.

Best Value

Başakşehir Win

Second Half Winner

For optimal value, the Second Half Winner market presents an attractive opportunity. The bookmaker odds of 2.10 imply a 47.6% chance but our analysis, leveraging home H2H dominance and goal comparisons, allows us to assign an 80% probability. This gap results in a value edge of over 32%, satisfying our optimal value criteria. While minute uncertainties exist around halftime dynamics, the convergence of comparison metrics and historical trends supports this pick. We note the inherent risk in predicting second half outcomes but see a compelling return value. Overall, the evidence converges on a strong home advantage in the latter period.

80%

prob.

2.1

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Başakşehir Win

Goals percentage: 78% for home vs 22% for away

80%

odds 1.8

Double Chance

Başakşehir or Draw

Double chance: 7 wins + 6 draws out of 16 (81%)

81%

odds 1.25

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Başakşehir
Başakşehir
WDDLW
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
No data

Current Standings

5
Başakşehir
Başakşehir
34 P 16 W 57 Pts
7
Samsunspor
Samsunspor
34 P 13 W 51 Pts

Head to Head

9 May 26
Başakşehir Başakşehir
3–0
Samsunspor Samsunspor
H
14 Dec 25
Samsunspor Samsunspor
0–2
Başakşehir Başakşehir
A
1 Feb 25
Başakşehir Başakşehir
4–0
Samsunspor Samsunspor
H
18 Sept 24
Samsunspor Samsunspor
2–0
Başakşehir Başakşehir
H
3 Mar 24
Başakşehir Başakşehir
1–0
Samsunspor Samsunspor
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Galatasaray Galatasaray
34 24 77
2
Fenerbahçe Fenerbahçe
34 21 74
3
Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
34 20 69
4
Beşiktaş Beşiktaş
34 17 60
5
Başakşehir Başakşehir
34 16 57
6
Göztepe Göztepe
34 14 55
7
Samsunspor Samsunspor
34 13 51
8
Rizespor Rizespor
34 10 41
9
Konyaspor Konyaspor
34 10 40
10
Kocaelispor Kocaelispor
34 9 37
11
Alanyaspor Alanyaspor
34 7 37
12
Gaziantep FK Gaziantep FK
34 9 37
13
Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa
34 8 35
14
Gençlerbirliği S.K. Gençlerbirliği S.K.
34 9 34
15
Eyüpspor Eyüpspor
34 8 33
16
Antalyaspor Antalyaspor
34 8 32
17
Kayserispor Kayserispor
34 6 30
18
Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük
34 8 30
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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