Almeria
Full Time
Las Palmas
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Almeria or Draw
Double Chance
80%
confidence
The Double Chance selection (Almeria or Draw) is supported by a 62% H2H advantage and a 63% home Poisson rating, alongside a superior 63% attacking metric versus Las Palmas' 37%. Season data shows Almeria averaging 2.6 goals at home, mitigating defensive concerns. This bet minimizes risk by covering the possibility of a draw while capitalizing on home strength. Overall, multiple independent stats converge to back this option despite minor defensive vulnerabilities.
Best Value
Almeria Win
Second Half Winner
The Second Half Winner on Almeria offers significant value with bookmaker odds at 2.10, implying a 47.6% chance, while our assessment is 85%. Comparison metrics show a 63% home Poisson and 62% H2H advantage for Almeria, reinforced by season stats with an average of 2.6 goals at home. This large discrepancy creates a value edge exceeding 30%. Though defensive concerns remain, the convergence of late-game scoring potential justifies an 85% probability.
85%
prob.
2.1
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Almeria Win
H2H home advantage at 62% and Poisson at 63%
75%
odds 1.8
Double Chance
Almeria or Draw
62% H2H advantage supporting double chance
80%
odds 1.22
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Racing Santander | 41 | 24 | 79 |
| 2 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 41 | 22 | 77 |
| 3 | Almeria ● | 41 | 21 | 71 |
| 4 |  Malaga | 41 | 20 | 70 |
| 5 | Las Palmas ● | 41 | 19 | 70 |
| 6 |  Castellón | 41 | 19 | 69 |
| 7 |  Burgos | 41 | 19 | 69 |
| 8 |  Eibar | 41 | 19 | 67 |
| 9 |  Cordoba | 41 | 17 | 60 |
| 10 |  Albacete | 41 | 16 | 59 |
| 11 |  AD Ceuta FC | 41 | 16 | 58 |
| 12 |  Sporting Gijon | 41 | 17 | 58 |
| 13 |  FC Andorra | 41 | 16 | 58 |
| 14 |  Granada CF | 41 | 12 | 48 |
| 15 |  Real Sociedad II | 41 | 12 | 46 |
| 16 |  Valladolid | 41 | 12 | 46 |
| 17 |  Cadiz | 41 | 11 | 43 |
| 18 |  Leganes | 41 | 10 | 43 |
| 19 |  Mirandes | 41 | 10 | 40 |
| 20 |  Huesca | 41 | 9 | 37 |
| 21 |  Cultural Leonesa | 41 | 9 | 36 |
| 22 |  Zaragoza | 41 | 8 | 36 |
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