Atletico Madrid
Full Time
Girona
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Atletico Madrid Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
Our highest confidence pick is a 3-Way Result bet on Atletico Madrid winning, strongly supported by multiple data points. The comparison metrics show a 75% home form versus 25% away form, along with an 80% h2h advantage for Atletico, and a 71% Poisson distribution favoring them. Additionally, season stats highlight Atletico’s average home goals of 2.1 and 7 clean sheets out of 18 fixtures. Historical head-to-head results also disproportionately favor Atletico, with 7 wins in the last 10 encounters. This convergence of evidence underpins a high confidence of 90%. Nonetheless, football remains unpredictable, so a slight risk remains despite the data alignment.
Best Value
Atletico Madrid Win
3-Way Result
The best value option is also the 3-Way Result pick on Atletico Madrid to win. With a bookmaker odd of 1.83 and an implied probability far below our assessed 90%, this pick offers an estimated value edge of around 65%. Comparison metrics such as a 76% home goal advantage and an 80% h2h lead further justify this selection. Atletico’s superior season performance, including an average of 2.1 home goals and significant clean sheet records, reinforces our confidence. Historical matchups consistently favor Atletico, and the convergence of over 85% of evidential data lowers risk. This option confidently meets the value edge threshold with a probability of 90% and a value rating of 5.
90%
prob.
1.83
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Atletico Madrid Win
Atletico h2h advantage at 80% and home form at 75%
90%
odds 1.83
Double Chance
Atletico Madrid or Draw
Atletico form at 75% versus Girona 25%
85%
odds 1.22
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
Atletico Madrid Girona Girona Atletico Madrid Girona Atletico Madrid Atletico Madrid Girona Atletico Madrid Girona +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 38 | 31 | 94 |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 38 | 27 | 86 |
| 3 |  Villarreal | 38 | 22 | 72 |
| 4 | Atletico Madrid ● | 38 | 21 | 69 |
| 5 |  Real Betis | 38 | 15 | 60 |
| 6 |  Celta Vigo | 38 | 14 | 54 |
| 7 |  Getafe | 38 | 15 | 51 |
| 8 |  Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 12 | 50 |
| 9 |  Valencia | 38 | 13 | 49 |
| 10 |  Real Sociedad | 38 | 11 | 46 |
| 11 |  Espanyol | 38 | 12 | 46 |
| 12 |  Athletic Club | 38 | 13 | 45 |
| 13 |  Sevilla | 38 | 12 | 43 |
| 14 |  Alaves | 38 | 11 | 43 |
| 15 |  Elche | 38 | 10 | 43 |
| 16 |  Levante | 38 | 11 | 42 |
| 17 |  Osasuna | 38 | 11 | 42 |
| 18 |  Mallorca | 38 | 11 | 42 |
| 19 | Girona ● | 38 | 9 | 41 |
| 20 |  Oviedo | 38 | 6 | 29 |
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