Saint Etienne
Full Time
Amiens
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Saint Etienne Win
3-Way Result
80%
confidence
Saint Etienne’s strong home comparison form of 80% and a Poisson advantage of 71% outweigh the mixed H2H record (50% each) in our 3-Way analysis. Season data indicates a total of 54 goals scored with 12 clean sheets at home, reinforcing this pick. The overall metrics, including a home win likelihood of 59.0% compared to 41.0% away, add further confidence. Despite some conflicting H2H results, the convergence of high home form and scoring data supports a home win. Therefore, we select Saint Etienne Win with conservative confidence. The risk remains Medium due to occasional low scoring outcomes.
Best Value
Saint Etienne/Saint Etienne
HT/FT Double
The HT/FT Double market offers remarkable value as Saint Etienne have showcased dominant home performances with 10 wins in 16 fixtures and a strong seasonal record. Our analysis compares an estimated true probability of 95% for a clean split across both halves against bookmaker odds of 1.67, whose implied probability is just 59.88%. This leads to a value edge exceeding 35%, far surpassing the 30% threshold for optimal value. Additionally, H2H evidence and season stats bolster confidence in a consistent performance in both halves. Although it carries inherent risks, the convergence of data from home form and scoring metrics justifies this bet. Thus, we select HT/FT Double: Saint Etienne/Saint Etienne as the best value option.
95%
prob.
1.67
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Saint Etienne Win
80% home form and 71% Poisson
80%
odds 1.2
Double Chance
Saint Etienne or Draw
80% home form vs 20% away
85%
odds 1.04
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Head to Head
Saint Etienne Amiens Amiens Saint Etienne Saint Etienne Amiens Amiens Saint Etienne Saint Etienne Amiens +5 more H2H results in the app
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