Football
Ligue 2 Ligue 2
· Regular Season - 32
Amiens

Amiens

0–2

Full Time

Montpellier

Montpellier

🏟 Stade de la Licorne, Amiens
🟡 R. Landry
📋 Regular Season - 32
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Montpellier Win

3-Way Result

85%

confidence

Odds: 2 bookmaker Medium Risk

Amiens’ extremely low home form of 10% contrasts sharply with Montpellier’s 90% away form, and the H2H metric of 85% in favor of Montpellier further reinforces an away victory. The Poisson distribution also favors Montpellier at 67% compared to 33% for Amiens. Season data shows Amiens averaging only 1.1 goals at home with 7 failed-to-score instances, underlining their struggles. Additionally, the comparison goals metric (38% vs 63%) supports a Montpellier win. Historical H2H figures, with multiple 1-2 & 1-1 results, corroborate the trend. Although draws remain a possibility, all major metrics point decisively to Montpellier’s edge.

Best Value

Montpellier Win

3-Way Result

The value lies in the strong convergence of metrics favoring Montpellier: a 90% away form, 85% H2H advantage, and a 67% Poisson score, which when combined, yield a significant edge. With an odds of 2.00, the expected return is compelling with an estimated value edge well over 30%. Season stats further underline Montpellier’s advantage, as Amiens’ home struggles (1.1 goals average and 7 failures to score) increase the likelihood of an away win. The multiple independent data points reinforce the quality of this pick despite typical match uncertainties.

85%

prob.

2

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Montpellier Win

H2H: 85% in favor of away team vs 15% for home

85%

odds 2

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Away form at 90% versus home form at 10%

90%

odds 1.33

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Amiens
Amiens
LLLLL
Montpellier
Montpellier
WWDDD

Current Standings

8
Montpellier
Montpellier
34 P 14 W 51 Pts
18
Amiens
Amiens
34 P 6 W 24 Pts

Head to Head

24 Apr 26
Amiens Amiens
0–2
Montpellier Montpellier
A
29 Aug 25
Montpellier Montpellier
1–1
Amiens Amiens
D
6 Jan 24
Amiens Amiens
1–2
Montpellier Montpellier
A
11 Jan 20
Amiens Amiens
1–2
Montpellier Montpellier
A
30 Nov 19
Montpellier Montpellier
4–2
Amiens Amiens
H

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