Football
Bundesliga Bundesliga
· Regular Season - 32
Union Berlin

Union Berlin

2–2

Full Time

1. FC Köln

1. FC Köln

🏟 Stadion An der Alten Försterei, Berlin
🟡 Daniel Schlager, Germany
📋 Regular Season - 32
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Union Berlin or 1. FC Köln

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.33 bookmaker Low Risk

Our analysis shows that the double chance bet covers all match outcomes and benefits from the wide divergence in team metrics. Union Berlin or 1. FC Köln is supported by the combined season data where 1. FC Köln has a 40% win look and Union Berlin has 40% chance when adjusted against the 20% draw possibility. The comparison metrics suggest an 86% advantage for Köln in form and 71% in attack, but head-to-head data adds uncertainty, keeping our conservative estimate at 80%. This bet minimizes risk by covering both teams and converges most evidence, though cautious outlook limits absolute confidence.

Best Value

Union Berlin or 1. FC Köln

Double Chance

The best value edge appears in the double chance market where our conservative probability of 80% significantly exceeds the bookmaker implied 75% chance from odds of 1.33. While several metrics such as form (86% for Köln) and attending play (71% for Köln) influence our outlook, the conflict with head-to-head (71% for home) limits our confidence on a straight win bet. Doubling up on both outcomes in this market provides a nearly risk-free option while still offering an edge. Despite the calculated edge being modest, the convergence of evidence supports selecting this option as our best optimal value bet.

80%

prob.

1.33

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

1. FC Köln Win

Away form at 86% vs home form at 14%

40%

odds 2.88

Double Chance

Union Berlin or 1. FC Köln

Combined outcome probability estimated at 80%

80%

odds 1.33

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Union Berlin
Union Berlin
LDLWL
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
WDDDL

Current Standings

11
Union Berlin
Union Berlin
34 P 10 W 39 Pts
14
1. FC Köln
1. FC Köln
34 P 7 W 32 Pts

Head to Head

2 May 26
Union Berlin Union Berlin
2–2
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
D
20 Dec 25
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
0–1
Union Berlin Union Berlin
A
11 May 24
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
3–2
Union Berlin Union Berlin
H
20 Dec 23
Union Berlin Union Berlin
2–0
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
H
4 Mar 23
Union Berlin Union Berlin
0–0
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
D

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Bayern München Bayern München
34 28 89
2
Borussia Dortmund Borussia Dortmund
34 22 73
3
RB Leipzig RB Leipzig
34 20 65
4
VfB Stuttgart VfB Stuttgart
34 18 62
5
1899 Hoffenheim 1899 Hoffenheim
34 18 61
6
Bayer Leverkusen Bayer Leverkusen
34 17 59
7
SC Freiburg SC Freiburg
34 13 47
8
Eintracht Frankfurt Eintracht Frankfurt
34 11 44
9
FC Augsburg FC Augsburg
34 12 43
10
FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05
34 10 40
11
Union Berlin Union Berlin
34 10 39
12
Borussia Mönchengladbach Borussia Mönchengladbach
34 9 38
13
Hamburger SV Hamburger SV
34 9 38
14
1. FC Köln 1. FC Köln
34 7 32
15
Werder Bremen Werder Bremen
34 8 32
16
VfL Wolfsburg VfL Wolfsburg
34 7 29
17
1. FC Heidenheim 1. FC Heidenheim
34 6 26
18
FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli
34 6 26
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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