FC St. Pauli
Full Time
FSV Mainz 05
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
FSV Mainz 05 Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
The data overwhelmingly favors FSV Mainz 05 with comparison metrics showing a 78% form and 93% h2h for the away side, while FC St. Pauli lags with only 22% form and 7% h2h. Season stats also support Mainz with an average of 1.6 goals compared to 0.6 for St. Pauli. Historical H2H results lean towards a Mainz win, including a 3-0 away victory. Despite a few drawn matches, nearly all independent metrics point towards an away win. This pick carries a low risk given the multi-metric convergence. Therefore, selecting a 3-Way Result with an FSV Mainz 05 win is highly justified.
Best Value
FSV Mainz 05
Home/Away
The Home/Away market offers excellent value with FSV Mainz 05 as the chosen side. Comparison metrics show a robust 78% form and 73% attack for Mainz, and season stats reveal their superior average goal tally of 1.6 compared to St. Pauli's 0.6. The implied probability from the bookmaker odds of 1.80 is only 55.6%, creating a substantial edge. H2H evidence further reinforces the away team advantage with a 93% h2h percentage. Although the risk remains minimal, the divergence between our probability of 90% and the market implied probability results in an edge over 30%.
90%
prob.
1.8
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
FSV Mainz 05 Win
H2H advantage of 93% for away
90%
odds 2.55
Double Chance
Draw/Away
Overall total of 73.5% favoring away
92%
odds 1.4
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
FC St. Pauli FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 FC St. Pauli FSV Mainz 05 FC St. Pauli FC St. Pauli FSV Mainz 05 FSV Mainz 05 FC St. Pauli +1 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bayern München | 34 | 28 | 89 |
| 2 |  Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 22 | 73 |
| 3 |  RB Leipzig | 34 | 20 | 65 |
| 4 |  VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 18 | 62 |
| 5 |  1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 18 | 61 |
| 6 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 17 | 59 |
| 7 |  SC Freiburg | 34 | 13 | 47 |
| 8 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 11 | 44 |
| 9 |  FC Augsburg | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 10 | FSV Mainz 05 ● | 34 | 10 | 40 |
| 11 |  Union Berlin | 34 | 10 | 39 |
| 12 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 34 | 9 | 38 |
| 13 |  Hamburger SV | 34 | 9 | 38 |
| 14 |  1. FC Köln | 34 | 7 | 32 |
| 15 |  Werder Bremen | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 16 |  VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 7 | 29 |
| 17 |  1. FC Heidenheim | 34 | 6 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli ● | 34 | 6 | 26 |
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