Football โ€บ
Ligue 1 Ligue 1
ยท Regular Season - 32
Lyon

Lyon

4โ€“2

Full Time

Rennes

Rennes

๐ŸŸ Parc Olympique Lyonnais, Lyon
๐ŸŸก C. Turpin
๐Ÿ“‹ Regular Season - 32
๐Ÿ“… 2025

๐Ÿค– AI Predictions

Best Bet

Rennes Win

3-Way Result

80%

confidence

Odds: 3.1 bookmaker Medium Risk

The 3-Way Result pick for Rennes Win is supported by multiple independent metrics: H2H data shows Rennes won 6 out of 10 matches (60%) and the away form is strong at 87% in the last five, compared to Lyonโ€™s 67%. Additionally, comparison metrics favor Rennes with 57% in form and 58% in attack versus 43% and 42% for Lyon. Season stats also indicate Rennesโ€™ higher scoring average (2.2 away) contributing to this advantage. While the Poisson distribution slightly favors Lyon at 62%, the overwhelming H2H and form evidence steers confidence towards Rennes. This prediction aligns well with the data and carries a moderate risk given some conflicting stats.

Best Value

โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…โ˜…

Rennes Win

3-Way Result

The best value pick is also the 3-Way Result for Rennes Win. With an assigned probability of 80% and bookmaker odds of 3.10, the implied probability is approximately 32.3%, providing a substantial value edge of about 47.7%. H2H results (60% in favor) and Rennes' superior away form at 87% from the last five matches further back this choice. Despite a slight tilt from the Poisson metric, the weight of evidence from form (57% vs 43%) and attack (58% vs 42%) supports this selection. This convergence of metrics minimizes risk while offering outstanding value.

80%

prob.

3.1

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Rennes Win

Rennes won 6/10 H2H matches (60%)

80%

odds 3.1

Double Chance

Draw/Away

Rennesโ€™ H2H win rate is 60%

75%

odds 1.67

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Lyon
Lyon
No data
Rennes
Rennes
No data

Current Standings

4
Lyon
Lyon
34 P 18 W 60 Pts
6
Rennes
Rennes
34 P 17 W 59 Pts

Head to Head

3 May 26
Lyon Lyon
4โ€“2
Rennes Rennes
H
14 Sept 25
Rennes Rennes
3โ€“1
Lyon Lyon
H
26 Apr 25
Lyon Lyon
4โ€“1
Rennes Rennes
H
18 Aug 24
Rennes Rennes
3โ€“0
Lyon Lyon
H
26 Jan 24
Lyon Lyon
2โ€“3
Rennes Rennes
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Paris Saint Germain Paris Saint Germain
34 24 76
2
Lens Lens
34 22 70
3
Lille Lille
34 18 61
4
Lyon Lyon โ—
34 18 60
5
Marseille Marseille
34 18 59
6
Rennes Rennes โ—
34 17 59
7
Monaco Monaco
34 16 54
8
Strasbourg Strasbourg
34 15 53
9
Lorient Lorient
34 11 45
10
Toulouse Toulouse
33 12 44
11
Paris FC Paris FC
34 11 44
12
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
34 10 39
13
Angers Angers
34 9 36
14
Le Havre Le Havre
34 7 35
15
Auxerre Auxerre
34 8 34
16
Nice Nice
34 7 32
17
Nantes Nantes
33 5 23
18
Metz Metz
34 3 17
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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