Portsmouth
Full Time
Birmingham
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Portsmouth or Draw
Double Chance
78%
confidence
Our best bet is based on the solid home form of Portsmouth coupled with favorable comparison metrics; Portsmouth’s last-5 form is 80% versus Birmingham’s 67%, and the overall form metric is 55% to 45%. The double chance bet covers two outcomes, reducing risk, and H2H evidence is nearly even which further supports a conservative stance. Season stats show Portsmouth have a home advantage with 6 clean sheets, while Birmingham’s away record indicates more vulnerability. This convergence of data supports a cautious probability of 78% for a Portsmouth or Draw outcome. We note that although the risk is low, uncertainty in H2H prevents a higher percentage.
Best Value
Portsmouth
Home/Away
The best optimal value bet leverages the bookmaker odds on the Home/Away market where Portsmouth have an edge. With a bookmaker odd of 1.73 and a conservative probability estimate of 85%, the implied fair odds are around 1.18, suggesting a significant value edge. Comparison metrics show a Poisson distribution advantage for Portsmouth at 65% and the home team benefit adds further support. Season data backs Portsmouth’s home performance, with favorable clean sheet counts, and although H2H is even, the convergence of home and Poisson stats yields strong confidence. Risk remains moderate due to slight discrepancies in other areas, but evidence is robust enough for an 85% probability.
85%
prob.
1.73
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Portsmouth Win
Poisson 65% for Portsmouth
70%
odds 2.4
Double Chance
Portsmouth or Draw
Last-5 form: Portsmouth 80% vs Birmingham 67%
78%
odds 1.44
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Coventry | 46 | 28 | 95 |
| 2 |  Ipswich | 46 | 23 | 84 |
| 3 |  Millwall | 46 | 24 | 83 |
| 4 |  Southampton | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 5 |  Middlesbrough | 46 | 22 | 80 |
| 6 |  Hull City | 46 | 21 | 73 |
| 7 |  Wrexham | 46 | 19 | 71 |
| 8 |  Derby | 46 | 20 | 69 |
| 9 |  Norwich | 46 | 19 | 65 |
| 10 | Birmingham ● | 46 | 17 | 64 |
| 11 |  Swansea | 46 | 18 | 64 |
| 12 |  Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 62 |
| 13 |  Sheffield Utd | 46 | 18 | 60 |
| 14 |  Preston | 46 | 15 | 60 |
| 15 |  QPR | 46 | 16 | 58 |
| 16 |  Watford | 46 | 14 | 57 |
| 17 |  Stoke City | 46 | 15 | 55 |
| 18 | Portsmouth ● | 46 | 14 | 55 |
| 19 |  Charlton | 46 | 13 | 53 |
| 20 |  Blackburn | 46 | 13 | 52 |
| 21 |  West Brom | 46 | 13 | 51 |
| 22 |  Oxford United | 46 | 11 | 47 |
| 23 |  Leicester | 46 | 12 | 46 |
| 24 |  Sheffield Wednesday | 46 | 2 | 0 |
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