Football
Championship Championship
· Regular Season - 46
Ipswich

Ipswich

3–0

Full Time

QPR

QPR

🏟 Portman Road, Ipswich
🟡 G. Ward
📋 Regular Season - 46
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

Ipswich or Draw

Double Chance

85%

confidence

Odds: 1.07 bookmaker Low Risk

Considering multiple independent metrics, Ipswich shows clear strength with a 75% form advantage over QPR's 25% and a 76% Poisson probability compared to 24% for QPR. The season data reinforces this with Ipswich averaging 1.8 goals at home and only 2 failed-to-score matches, while QPR's away form is much weaker. This convergence of evidence underpins our confident pick. The H2H data, though mixed, does not outweigh the broader season and comparison metrics. We set our probability at 85%, reflecting strong confidence albeit with natural match variance.

Best Value

Ipswich Win

3-Way Result

Among our options, the 3-Way Result for an Ipswich win gathers solid backing from comparison metrics (75% form and 76% Poisson in favor) and season stats, despite a modest value edge. The implied odds of 1.30 translate to a roughly 76.9% implied probability versus our 80% estimate. Although the calculated value edge is only around 4%, this market offers the best quality bet with a probability exceeding 80%. We note that the convergence of data largely supports a home win despite some conflicting H2H outcomes.

80%

prob.

1.3

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

Ipswich Win

75% form advantage vs 25% for QPR

80%

odds 1.3

Double Chance

Ipswich or Draw

59.8% total performance for Ipswich

85%

odds 1.07

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

Ipswich
Ipswich
No data
QPR
QPR
LLDDW

Current Standings

2
Ipswich
Ipswich
46 P 23 W 84 Pts
15
QPR
QPR
46 P 16 W 58 Pts

Head to Head

2 May 26
Ipswich Ipswich
3–0
QPR QPR
H
1 Nov 25
QPR QPR
1–4
Ipswich Ipswich
A
29 Dec 23
Ipswich Ipswich
0–0
QPR QPR
D
19 Aug 23
QPR QPR
0–1
Ipswich Ipswich
A
26 Dec 18
QPR QPR
3–0
Ipswich Ipswich
H

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Coventry Coventry
46 28 95
2
Ipswich Ipswich
46 23 84
3
Millwall Millwall
46 24 83
4
Southampton Southampton
46 22 80
5
Middlesbrough Middlesbrough
46 22 80
6
Hull City Hull City
46 21 73
7
Wrexham Wrexham
46 19 71
8
Derby Derby
46 20 69
9
Norwich Norwich
46 19 65
10
Birmingham Birmingham
46 17 64
11
Swansea Swansea
46 18 64
12
Bristol City Bristol City
46 17 62
13
Sheffield Utd Sheffield Utd
46 18 60
14
Preston Preston
46 15 60
15
QPR QPR
46 16 58
16
Watford Watford
46 14 57
17
Stoke City Stoke City
46 15 55
18
Portsmouth Portsmouth
46 14 55
19
Charlton Charlton
46 13 53
20
Blackburn Blackburn
46 13 52
21
West Brom West Brom
46 13 51
22
Oxford United Oxford United
46 11 47
23
Leicester Leicester
46 12 46
24
Sheffield Wednesday Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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