HNK Rijeka
Full Time
Vukovar
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
HNK Rijeka or Draw
Double Chance
85%
confidence
Double Chance: HNK Rijeka or Draw is our safest pick given the strong home advantage. The comparison metrics show a 64% defensive strength for Rijeka versus 36% for Vukovar and a Poisson score chance of 79% for the home side. Recent head-to-head results also favor Rijeka with a 67% edge. Although home form sits at 42%, combining the metrics provides a conservative 85% probability for this outcome. Risk is low given the double coverage of win and draw and multiple independent metrics support it.
Best Value
HNK Rijeka Win
3-Way Result
Our best optimal pick is the 3-Way Result: HNK Rijeka Win, supported by a convergence of evidence. Poisson distribution favors the home team at 79% and head-to-head metrics show a 67% advantage, nudging the probability upward to 80%. Season statistics also back a home win when considering Rijeka’s overall performance. Despite the bookmaker odds of 1.30 implying a 76.92% probability, our conservative adjustment reaches 80%, although with minimal value edge. Risks remain moderate given mixed form figures, but multiple data points support this call.
80%
prob.
1.3
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
HNK Rijeka Win
Poisson home at 79% and H2H home at 67%
75%
odds 1.3
Double Chance
HNK Rijeka or Draw
Home defence at 64% compared to away at 36%
85%
odds 1.07
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 36 | 27 | 86 |
| 2 |  HNK Hajduk Split | 36 | 20 | 68 |
| 3 |  NK Varazdin | 36 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 | HNK Rijeka ● | 36 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 36 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 |  Istra 1961 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 36 | 10 | 41 |
| 8 |  HNK Gorica | 36 | 11 | 41 |
| 9 |  NK Osijek | 36 | 8 | 35 |
| 10 | Vukovar ● | 36 | 6 | 28 |
Get the Full Match Experience
Live commentary, deep stats, AI analysis, and fantasy tools — all free in the Edge Score app.
Free forever with optional Premium. No credit card required.