The data shows a strong away edge with the Poisson distribution at 63% and h2h advantage at 71%, indicating Istra 1961 can secure an away win. Despite NK Osijek's 70% home form, their attack is only at 43% compared to Istra's 57%. Historical head-to-head results further favor the away team with multiple wins. Season stats also show Istra’s higher goal average (1.2 vs 0.8). There is risk from NK Osijek’s better defensive record (73% vs 27%), but overall key metrics converge. With these multiple metrics supporting an away win, the confidence is solid yet conservative.