HNK Hajduk Split
Full Time
NK Varazdin
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw
Double Chance
85%
confidence
Our analysis favors a safe outcome given the convergence of season and comparison metrics. HNK Hajduk Split show a modest home advantage with a Poisson distribution of 64% favoring home and season clean sheets of 7 at home. H2H results, with 3 wins in 10 encounters, further support an expectation of at least a draw if not a win. The double chance market minimizes risk while benefiting from Hajduk’s stronger season record (10 home wins out of 16 games). Although there is some mixed form with Hajduk at 44% and Varazdin at 56% in comparison metrics, the overall evidence leans towards Hajduk not losing at home. This pick carries an estimated probability of 85% and is reflected by the bookmaker odds of 1.14 for “HNK Hajduk Split or Draw”.
Best Value
NK Varazdin Win
3-Way Result
While most high-probability outcomes offer little value, the market for an upset stands out. NK Varazdin Win is priced at 5.50, which implies an 18.18% chance, but given Varazdin’s strong recent form (67% in the last 5) and superior attacking percentage (100% att in recent matches), there is significant value. H2H results show Varazdin have managed 3 wins out of 10 encounters, and season figures indicate they can upset the home team despite a lower overall win rate away (5 wins in 16). This outcome, though carrying a lower estimated probability of 35%, offers a steep value edge approximating 39% when compared to the bookmaker’s implied probability. Note the higher risk in this optimal value play.
35%
prob.
5.5
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
HNK Hajduk Split Win
Poisson distribution: home 64% vs away 36%
75%
odds 1.5
Double Chance
HNK Hajduk Split or Draw
Season record: 10 home wins out of 16 games
85%
odds 1.14
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
Head to Head
HNK Hajduk Split NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HNK Hajduk Split HNK Hajduk Split NK Varazdin NK Varazdin HNK Hajduk Split NK Varazdin HNK Hajduk Split +5 more H2H results in the app
Download Free →League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Dinamo Zagreb | 36 | 27 | 86 |
| 2 | HNK Hajduk Split ● | 36 | 20 | 68 |
| 3 | NK Varazdin ● | 36 | 15 | 54 |
| 4 |  HNK Rijeka | 36 | 14 | 53 |
| 5 |  NK Lokomotiva Zagreb | 36 | 10 | 44 |
| 6 |  Istra 1961 | 36 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 |  NK Slaven Belupo | 36 | 10 | 41 |
| 8 |  HNK Gorica | 36 | 11 | 41 |
| 9 |  NK Osijek | 36 | 8 | 35 |
| 10 |  Vukovar | 36 | 6 | 28 |
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