Partick
Full Time
Dunfermline
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
Partick or Draw
Double Chance
90%
confidence
Our highest confidence pick is the Double Chance market – ‘Partick or Draw’. Provider data shows a 45% chance for a Partick win and a 45% chance for a draw, totaling a 90% combined probability. Comparison metrics also favor the home team with a 62% h2h advantage and Poisson distribution of 61% for Partick. Season statistics reinforce this with Partick achieving 7 clean sheets at home in 16 fixtures. The H2H record shows multiple instances of at least a draw, while risk remains low given the strong defensive displays. Overall, the alignment of provider, comparison, and season data supports a low-risk decision.
Best Value
Under 2.5
Goals Over/Under
The best value option emerges from the Goals Over/Under market with an Under 2.5 prediction. Both teams’ season under/over stats are clear; for Partick, the under count is 27 against a meager 5 for the over at the 2.5 threshold, while Dunfermline shows a similar pattern with 25 under versus 6 over. This converges with the defensive solidity evident in recent form (79% defensive performance) and H2H results with draws and low-scoring matches. The combined evidence gives an 85% probability, providing a strong value edge. Risks remain moderate given the consistent scoring patterns and threshold stats. Thus, the value edge is compelling with a value rating of 5.
85%
prob.
1.18
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
Partick Win
Home win chance at 45% with 1.7 goals average at home.
45%
odds 2.22
Double Chance
Partick or Draw
Combined win/draw probability of 90% (45%+45%).
90%
odds 1.11
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  ST Johnstone | 36 | 22 | 77 |
| 2 | Partick ● | 36 | 17 | 66 |
| 3 |  Arbroath | 36 | 13 | 52 |
| 4 | Dunfermline ● | 36 | 14 | 51 |
| 5 |  Raith Rovers | 36 | 12 | 45 |
| 6 |  Queen's Park | 36 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 |  Ayr Utd | 36 | 8 | 39 |
| 8 |  Morton | 36 | 8 | 38 |
| 9 |  Airdrie United | 36 | 8 | 36 |
| 10 |  Ross County | 36 | 8 | 34 |
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