Football
Eredivisie Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 34
NEC Nijmegen

NEC Nijmegen

2–1

Full Time

GO Ahead Eagles

GO Ahead Eagles

🏟 Goffertstadion, Nijmegen
🟡 S. van der Eijk
📋 Regular Season - 34
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

NEC Nijmegen or Draw

Double Chance

80%

confidence

Odds: 1.1 bookmaker Low Risk

Our analysis converges on safety with a double chance pick as several metrics support NEC Nijmegen’s resilience at home. The Poisson distribution gives NEC a 64% home edge while season stats show 8 wins in 16 home fixtures. This, combined with overall league form, points to avoiding an away upset, despite H2H favoring the visitors. Double Chance covers the risk of a draw too, leading to an 80% conservative probability estimation. Given these converging data points, this bet minimizes downside risk.

Best Value

NEC Nijmegen/NEC Nijmegen

HT/FT Double

For optimal value the HT/FT Double market offers significant upside. We pick NEC Nijmegen to win both halves based on season home form and an under-the-radar edge from H2H when NEC control early spells; note that in one past fixture, NEC went 1-0 at halftime before sealing the win. With bookmaker odds at 1.95 compared to an implied probability of only 51.3%, our conservative adjustment to 80% yields a value edge above 30%. Although evidence from head-to-head is mixed, season home performance and defensive solidity support this aggressive value play.

80%

prob.

1.95

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

NEC Nijmegen Win

Poisson home win at 64% vs away 36%

55%

odds 1.38

Double Chance

NEC Nijmegen or Draw

NEC home win stats: 8 wins out of 16 games

80%

odds 1.1

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
WLDDL
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
LDDDW

Current Standings

3
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
34 P 16 W 59 Pts
12
GO Ahead Eagles
GO Ahead Eagles
34 P 8 W 38 Pts

Head to Head

17 May 26
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
2–1
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
H
5 Oct 25
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
1–1
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
D
9 Mar 25
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
2–3
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
A
7 Dec 24
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
5–0
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
H
23 May 24
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
1–2
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Cambuur Cambuur
0 0 0
2
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
0 0 0
3
Telstar Telstar
0 0 0
4
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
0 0 0
5
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
0 0 0
6
Ajax Ajax
0 0 0
7
Twente Twente
0 0 0
8
Heerenveen Heerenveen
0 0 0
9
Feyenoord Feyenoord
0 0 0
10
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
0 0 0
11
Utrecht Utrecht
0 0 0
12
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
0 0 0
13
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
0 0 0
14
Willem II Willem II
0 0 0
15
Excelsior Excelsior
0 0 0
16
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
0 0 0
17
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
0 0 0
18
Groningen Groningen
0 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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