NEC Nijmegen
Full Time
GO Ahead Eagles
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
NEC Nijmegen or Draw
Double Chance
80%
confidence
Our analysis converges on safety with a double chance pick as several metrics support NEC Nijmegen’s resilience at home. The Poisson distribution gives NEC a 64% home edge while season stats show 8 wins in 16 home fixtures. This, combined with overall league form, points to avoiding an away upset, despite H2H favoring the visitors. Double Chance covers the risk of a draw too, leading to an 80% conservative probability estimation. Given these converging data points, this bet minimizes downside risk.
Best Value
NEC Nijmegen/NEC Nijmegen
HT/FT Double
For optimal value the HT/FT Double market offers significant upside. We pick NEC Nijmegen to win both halves based on season home form and an under-the-radar edge from H2H when NEC control early spells; note that in one past fixture, NEC went 1-0 at halftime before sealing the win. With bookmaker odds at 1.95 compared to an implied probability of only 51.3%, our conservative adjustment to 80% yields a value edge above 30%. Although evidence from head-to-head is mixed, season home performance and defensive solidity support this aggressive value play.
80%
prob.
1.95
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
NEC Nijmegen Win
Poisson home win at 64% vs away 36%
55%
odds 1.38
Double Chance
NEC Nijmegen or Draw
NEC home win stats: 8 wins out of 16 games
80%
odds 1.1
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 84 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 65 |
| 3 | NEC Nijmegen ● | 34 | 16 | 59 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 58 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 34 | 14 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 53 |
| 7 |  AZ Alkmaar | 34 | 14 | 52 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 34 | 14 | 48 |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 39 |
| 12 | GO Ahead Eagles ● | 34 | 8 | 38 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 38 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 17 |  NAC Breda | 34 | 6 | 29 |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | 5 | 19 |
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