Football
Eredivisie Eredivisie
· Regular Season - 34
AZ Alkmaar

AZ Alkmaar

3–3

Full Time

NAC Breda

NAC Breda

🏟 AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
🟡 E. van de Graaf
📋 Regular Season - 34
📅 2025

🤖 AI Predictions

Best Bet

AZ Alkmaar Win

3-Way Result

90%

confidence

Odds: 1.36 bookmaker Low Risk

The convergence of multiple metrics strongly favors AZ Alkmaar. Their home form stands at 64% compared to NAC Breda's 36%, and the Poisson distribution shows a 76% chance for AZ win. H2H data reveals a 71% advantage for AZ, with 8 wins out of 10 encounters. Season stats also indicate a superior home goal average and clean sheet record. Although risks exist, the evidence is overwhelming with a 90% estimated probability.

Best Value

AZ Alkmaar

Team to Score First

Taking a value approach, AZ Alkmaar is also favored to score first given their strong attacking performance. Their home attacking metric is at 73% while NAC Breda’s attack is only 18% in recent form. With fallback odds of 100, the implied probability is extremely low, which creates a significant edge when our estimated probability is 80%. This divergence makes it attractive despite the fallback odds.

80%

prob.

1.12

odds

All Markets

3-Way Result

AZ Alkmaar Win

71% h2h advantage

90%

odds 1.36

Double Chance

AZ Alkmaar or Draw

64% home form vs 36% away

92%

odds 1.08

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Match Summary

Recent Form (last 5)

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
No data
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
No data

Current Standings

7
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
34 P 14 W 52 Pts
17
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
34 P 6 W 29 Pts

Head to Head

17 May 26
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
3–3
NAC Breda NAC Breda
D
31 Aug 25
NAC Breda NAC Breda
0–1
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
A
24 Apr 25
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
1–1
NAC Breda NAC Breda
D
15 Dec 24
NAC Breda NAC Breda
1–2
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
A
12 Feb 20
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
1–3
NAC Breda NAC Breda
A

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League Standings

# Team P W Pts
1
Cambuur Cambuur
0 0 0
2
Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard
0 0 0
3
Telstar Telstar
0 0 0
4
PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle
0 0 0
5
PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven
0 0 0
6
Ajax Ajax
0 0 0
7
Twente Twente
0 0 0
8
Heerenveen Heerenveen
0 0 0
9
Feyenoord Feyenoord
0 0 0
10
NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen
0 0 0
11
Utrecht Utrecht
0 0 0
12
AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar
0 0 0
13
Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam
0 0 0
14
Willem II Willem II
0 0 0
15
Excelsior Excelsior
0 0 0
16
ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag
0 0 0
17
GO Ahead Eagles GO Ahead Eagles
0 0 0
18
Groningen Groningen
0 0 0
Champions League Europa / Conference Relegation
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