AZ Alkmaar
Full Time
NAC Breda
🤖 AI Predictions
Best Bet
AZ Alkmaar Win
3-Way Result
90%
confidence
The convergence of multiple metrics strongly favors AZ Alkmaar. Their home form stands at 64% compared to NAC Breda's 36%, and the Poisson distribution shows a 76% chance for AZ win. H2H data reveals a 71% advantage for AZ, with 8 wins out of 10 encounters. Season stats also indicate a superior home goal average and clean sheet record. Although risks exist, the evidence is overwhelming with a 90% estimated probability.
Best Value
AZ Alkmaar
Team to Score First
Taking a value approach, AZ Alkmaar is also favored to score first given their strong attacking performance. Their home attacking metric is at 73% while NAC Breda’s attack is only 18% in recent form. With fallback odds of 100, the implied probability is extremely low, which creates a significant edge when our estimated probability is 80%. This divergence makes it attractive despite the fallback odds.
80%
prob.
1.12
odds
All Markets
3-Way Result
AZ Alkmaar Win
71% h2h advantage
90%
odds 1.36
Double Chance
AZ Alkmaar or Draw
64% home form vs 36% away
92%
odds 1.08
Match Summary
Recent Form (last 5)
Current Standings
League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  PSV Eindhoven | 34 | 27 | 84 |
| 2 |  Feyenoord | 34 | 19 | 65 |
| 3 |  NEC Nijmegen | 34 | 16 | 59 |
| 4 |  Twente | 34 | 15 | 58 |
| 5 |  Ajax | 34 | 14 | 56 |
| 6 |  Utrecht | 34 | 15 | 53 |
| 7 | AZ Alkmaar ● | 34 | 14 | 52 |
| 8 |  Heerenveen | 34 | 14 | 51 |
| 9 |  Groningen | 34 | 14 | 48 |
| 10 |  Sparta Rotterdam | 34 | 12 | 43 |
| 11 |  Fortuna Sittard | 34 | 11 | 39 |
| 12 |  GO Ahead Eagles | 34 | 8 | 38 |
| 13 |  Excelsior | 34 | 10 | 38 |
| 14 |  Telstar | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 15 |  PEC Zwolle | 34 | 9 | 37 |
| 16 |  FC Volendam | 34 | 8 | 32 |
| 17 | NAC Breda ● | 34 | 6 | 29 |
| 18 |  Heracles | 34 | 5 | 19 |
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